Vanguard Mid Cap Growth Fund Market Value
| VMGMX Fund | USD 116.50 0.32 0.28% |
| Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard Mid-cap 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Mid-cap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Mid-cap.
| 09/02/2024 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard Mid-cap on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Mid Cap Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Mid-cap over 90 days. Vanguard Mid-cap is related to or competes with Vanguard Materials, Vanguard Limited-term, Vanguard Limited-term, Vanguard Global, Vanguard Emerging, Vanguard Market, and Vanguard Market. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the CRSP US Mid Cap Growth Index, ... More
Vanguard Mid-cap Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Mid-cap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Mid Cap Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.8698 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0964 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.22 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.18) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.45 |
Vanguard Mid-cap Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Mid-cap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Mid-cap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Mid-cap historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Mid-cap's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1955 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0852 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0661 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0966 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2136 |
Vanguard Mid Cap Backtested Returns
Vanguard Mid-cap appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Vanguard Mid Cap owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.31, which indicates the fund had a 0.31% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vanguard Mid Cap Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please review Vanguard Mid-cap's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1955, coefficient of variation of 393.46, and Semi Deviation of 0.6121 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 0.99, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Vanguard Mid-cap returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard Mid-cap is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.86 |
Very good predictability
Vanguard Mid Cap Growth has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Mid-cap time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Mid Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.86 indicates that approximately 86.0% of current Vanguard Mid-cap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.86 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.82 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 14.38 |
Vanguard Mid Cap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Mid-cap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Mid-cap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Mid-cap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Mid-cap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Mid-cap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Mid-cap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Mid-cap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Mid-cap mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Mid-cap Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard Mid-cap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Mid-cap mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Mid-cap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Mid-cap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Mid-cap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Mid Cap Growth.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund
Vanguard Mid-cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Mid-cap security.
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