AB Volvo (Germany) Market Value

VOL1 Stock  EUR 25.00  0.05  0.20%   
AB Volvo's market value is the price at which a share of AB Volvo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AB Volvo investors about its performance. AB Volvo is trading at 25.00 as of the 11th of December 2024. This is a 0.2% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 24.58.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AB Volvo and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AB Volvo over a given investment horizon. Check out AB Volvo Correlation, AB Volvo Volatility and AB Volvo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AB Volvo.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AB Volvo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AB Volvo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AB Volvo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AB Volvo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AB Volvo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AB Volvo.
0.00
08/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AB Volvo on August 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AB Volvo or generate 0.0% return on investment in AB Volvo over 480 days. AB Volvo is related to or competes with Japan Tobacco, Air Lease, SHIP HEALTHCARE, Aluminumof China, UNITED RENTALS, and JAPAN TOBACCO. AB Volvo , together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells trucks, buses, construction equipment, and marine and ... More

AB Volvo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AB Volvo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AB Volvo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AB Volvo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AB Volvo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AB Volvo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AB Volvo historical prices to predict the future AB Volvo's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.3825.0026.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.9220.5427.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.8026.4228.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.6023.7524.89
Details

AB Volvo Backtested Returns

AB Volvo appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. AB Volvo retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which signifies that the company had a 0.12% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for AB Volvo, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please makes use of AB Volvo's Coefficient Of Variation of 832.15, standard deviation of 1.63, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (3.11) to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, AB Volvo holds a performance score of 9. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0596, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning AB Volvo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, AB Volvo is likely to outperform the market. Please check AB Volvo's market risk adjusted performance, semi deviation, coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to make a quick decision on whether AB Volvo's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.2  

Insignificant reverse predictability

AB Volvo has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AB Volvo time series from 19th of August 2023 to 15th of April 2024 and 15th of April 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AB Volvo price movement. The serial correlation of -0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current AB Volvo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.2
Spearman Rank Test-0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.52

AB Volvo lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AB Volvo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AB Volvo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AB Volvo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AB Volvo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AB Volvo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AB Volvo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AB Volvo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AB Volvo stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AB Volvo Lagged Returns

When evaluating AB Volvo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AB Volvo stock have on its future price. AB Volvo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AB Volvo autocorrelation shows the relationship between AB Volvo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AB Volvo.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in VOL1 Stock

AB Volvo financial ratios help investors to determine whether VOL1 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VOL1 with respect to the benefits of owning AB Volvo security.