Federated Clover Small Fund Market Value

VSFAX Fund  USD 28.29  0.15  0.53%   
Federated Clover's market value is the price at which a share of Federated Clover trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Federated Clover Small investors about its performance. Federated Clover is trading at 28.29 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 0.53 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 28.44.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Federated Clover Small and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Federated Clover over a given investment horizon. Check out Federated Clover Correlation, Federated Clover Volatility and Federated Clover Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Federated Clover.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Federated Clover's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federated Clover is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federated Clover's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Federated Clover 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Federated Clover's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Federated Clover.
0.00
06/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Federated Clover on June 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Federated Clover Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in Federated Clover over 180 days. Federated Clover is related to or competes with Dimensional Retirement, Jp Morgan, Qs Moderate, Saat Moderate, Transamerica Cleartrack, and Strategic Allocation. The fund primarily invests in common stocks and other equity securities of U.S More

Federated Clover Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Federated Clover's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Federated Clover Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Federated Clover Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Federated Clover's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Federated Clover's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Federated Clover historical prices to predict the future Federated Clover's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.474.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.8228.0329.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.6628.5429.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Federated Clover. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Federated Clover's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Federated Clover's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Federated Clover Small.

Federated Clover Small Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Federated Mutual Fund to be somewhat reliable. Federated Clover Small secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which denotes the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Federated Clover Small, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Federated Clover's Downside Deviation of 0.8159, mean deviation of 0.8184, and Coefficient Of Variation of 793.98 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.44, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Federated Clover will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.33  

Below average predictability

Federated Clover Small has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Federated Clover time series from 14th of June 2024 to 12th of September 2024 and 12th of September 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Federated Clover Small price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current Federated Clover price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.33
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.89

Federated Clover Small lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Federated Clover mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Federated Clover's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Federated Clover returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Federated Clover has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Federated Clover regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Federated Clover mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Federated Clover mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Federated Clover mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Federated Clover Lagged Returns

When evaluating Federated Clover's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Federated Clover mutual fund have on its future price. Federated Clover autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Federated Clover autocorrelation shows the relationship between Federated Clover mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Federated Clover Small.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund

Federated Clover financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Clover security.
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