EMPLOYERS HLDGS (Germany) Market Value

YGB Stock  EUR 48.60  0.40  0.83%   
EMPLOYERS HLDGS's market value is the price at which a share of EMPLOYERS HLDGS trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL investors about its performance. EMPLOYERS HLDGS is trading at 48.60 as of the 22nd of December 2024. This is a 0.83% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 48.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL and determine expected loss or profit from investing in EMPLOYERS HLDGS over a given investment horizon. Check out EMPLOYERS HLDGS Correlation, EMPLOYERS HLDGS Volatility and EMPLOYERS HLDGS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on EMPLOYERS HLDGS.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between EMPLOYERS HLDGS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if EMPLOYERS HLDGS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EMPLOYERS HLDGS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

EMPLOYERS HLDGS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to EMPLOYERS HLDGS's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of EMPLOYERS HLDGS.
0.00
11/22/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in EMPLOYERS HLDGS on November 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL or generate 0.0% return on investment in EMPLOYERS HLDGS over 30 days. EMPLOYERS HLDGS is related to or competes with Mapfre SA, First American, MGIC Investment, Assured Guaranty, Radian, Nib Holdings, and Trupanion. Employers Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the commercial property and casualty insurance industry ... More

EMPLOYERS HLDGS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure EMPLOYERS HLDGS's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

EMPLOYERS HLDGS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for EMPLOYERS HLDGS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as EMPLOYERS HLDGS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use EMPLOYERS HLDGS historical prices to predict the future EMPLOYERS HLDGS's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.9548.6050.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
43.7456.1557.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
47.7249.3751.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.3949.8651.34
Details

EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL Backtested Returns

EMPLOYERS HLDGS appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which denotes the company had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize EMPLOYERS HLDGS's Mean Deviation of 1.08, downside deviation of 1.36, and Semi Deviation of 0.8946 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, EMPLOYERS HLDGS holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.31, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, EMPLOYERS HLDGS will likely underperform. Please check EMPLOYERS HLDGS's sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether EMPLOYERS HLDGS's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between EMPLOYERS HLDGS time series from 22nd of November 2024 to 7th of December 2024 and 7th of December 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current EMPLOYERS HLDGS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.03
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.47

EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is EMPLOYERS HLDGS stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting EMPLOYERS HLDGS's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of EMPLOYERS HLDGS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that EMPLOYERS HLDGS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

EMPLOYERS HLDGS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If EMPLOYERS HLDGS stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if EMPLOYERS HLDGS stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in EMPLOYERS HLDGS stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

EMPLOYERS HLDGS Lagged Returns

When evaluating EMPLOYERS HLDGS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of EMPLOYERS HLDGS stock have on its future price. EMPLOYERS HLDGS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, EMPLOYERS HLDGS autocorrelation shows the relationship between EMPLOYERS HLDGS stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in EMPLOYERS HLDGS DL.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in EMPLOYERS Stock

EMPLOYERS HLDGS financial ratios help investors to determine whether EMPLOYERS Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EMPLOYERS with respect to the benefits of owning EMPLOYERS HLDGS security.