Novavax (Germany) Performance

NVV1 Stock  EUR 8.69  0.29  3.45%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.99, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Novavax returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Novavax is expected to follow. At this point, Novavax has a negative expected return of -0.46%. Please make sure to verify Novavax's potential upside, kurtosis, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the skewness and accumulation distribution , to decide if Novavax performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Novavax has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow648.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities100.2 M
  

Novavax Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,230  in Novavax on September 13, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (399.00) from holding Novavax or give up 32.44% of portfolio value over 90 days. Novavax is producing return of less than zero assuming 5.4657% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 48% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Novavax, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
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Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Novavax is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.47 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.08 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Novavax Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Novavax's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Novavax, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Novavax's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.085

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Estimated Market Risk

 5.47
  actual daily
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52% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.46
  actual daily
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Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.08
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Novavax is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Novavax by adding Novavax to a well-diversified portfolio.

Novavax Fundamentals Growth

Novavax Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Novavax, and Novavax fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Novavax Stock performance.

About Novavax Performance

By analyzing Novavax's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Novavax's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Novavax has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Novavax has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Novavax, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of vaccines to prevent serious infectious diseases and address health needs. Novavax, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Gaithersburg, Maryland. NOVAVAX INC operates under Biotechnology classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 1541 people.

Things to note about Novavax performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Novavax for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Novavax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Novavax generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Novavax has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Novavax has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.15 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.74 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.39 B).
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Novavax's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Novavax's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Novavax's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Novavax's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Novavax's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Novavax's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Novavax's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Novavax's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Novavax's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Novavax's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Novavax's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Novavax Stock analysis

When running Novavax's price analysis, check to measure Novavax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Novavax is operating at the current time. Most of Novavax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Novavax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Novavax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Novavax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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