Anhui Gujing (China) Price Prediction
| 000596 Stock | 189.63 0.02 0.01% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.138 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.6967 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.6425 | Wall Street Target Price 221.89 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.8 |
Using Anhui Gujing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Anhui Gujing Distillery from the perspective of Anhui Gujing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Anhui Gujing to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Anhui because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Anhui Gujing after-hype prediction price | CNY 189.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Anhui |
Anhui Gujing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Anhui Gujing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Anhui Gujing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Anhui Gujing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Anhui Gujing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Anhui Gujing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Anhui Gujing's historical news coverage. Anhui Gujing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 185.40 and 193.24, respectively. We have considered Anhui Gujing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Anhui Gujing is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Anhui Gujing Distillery is based on 3 months time horizon.
Anhui Gujing Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Anhui Gujing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Anhui Gujing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Anhui Gujing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.92 | 0.31 | 0.04 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
189.63 | 189.32 | 0.16 |
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Anhui Gujing Hype Timeline
Anhui Gujing Distillery is presently traded for 189.63on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Anhui is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 189.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Anhui Gujing is about 3062.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 189.67. About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Anhui Gujing was presently reported as 45.2. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.92. Anhui Gujing Distillery recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of June 2024. The firm had 20:10 split on the 2nd of May 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Anhui Gujing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Anhui Gujing Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Anhui Gujing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Anhui Gujing's future price movements. Getting to know how Anhui Gujing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Anhui Gujing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600028 | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.21 | (3.26) | 10.77 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 601668 | China State Construction | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.56 | 0.0005 | 5.25 | (3.97) | 15.78 | |
| 601390 | China Railway Group | (0.06) | 2 per month | 2.40 | (0) | 5.32 | (3.57) | 17.45 | |
| 601186 | China Railway Construction | 0.40 | 1 per month | 2.54 | 0.03 | 6.73 | (3.95) | 17.07 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.15 | (0.07) | 2.05 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.83 | (3.06) | 8.14 | |
| 601628 | China Life Insurance | (0.02) | 3 per month | 2.34 | 0.12 | 6.42 | (3.18) | 20.00 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.26 | 1 per month | 1.85 | 0.09 | 5.83 | (2.83) | 19.77 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.32 | (3.86) | 8.64 |
Anhui Gujing Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Anhui price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Anhui using various technical indicators. When you analyze Anhui charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Anhui Gujing Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Anhui Gujing stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Anhui Gujing Distillery, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Anhui Gujing based on analysis of Anhui Gujing hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Anhui Gujing's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Anhui Gujing's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Anhui Gujing
The number of cover stories for Anhui Gujing depends on current market conditions and Anhui Gujing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Anhui Gujing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Anhui Gujing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Anhui Gujing Short Properties
Anhui Gujing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Anhui Gujing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Anhui Gujing Distillery often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Anhui Gujing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anhui Gujing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 528.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Anhui Stock analysis
When running Anhui Gujing's price analysis, check to measure Anhui Gujing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Anhui Gujing is operating at the current time. Most of Anhui Gujing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Anhui Gujing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Anhui Gujing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Anhui Gujing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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