Guangdong Wens (China) Price Prediction

300498 Stock   17.19  0.14  0.81%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Guangdong Wens' share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Guangdong Wens, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Guangdong Wens' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Guangdong Wens Foodstuff, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Guangdong Wens' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
26.874
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.53
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.875
Wall Street Target Price
20.6043
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.219
Using Guangdong Wens hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guangdong Wens Foodstuff from the perspective of Guangdong Wens response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guangdong Wens to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guangdong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Guangdong Wens after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 17.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Guangdong Wens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6214.8618.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.6916.9320.17
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.410.470.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guangdong Wens. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guangdong Wens' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guangdong Wens' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guangdong Wens Foodstuff.

Guangdong Wens After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Guangdong Wens at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guangdong Wens or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guangdong Wens, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Guangdong Wens Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Guangdong Wens' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guangdong Wens' historical news coverage. Guangdong Wens' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.95 and 20.43, respectively. We have considered Guangdong Wens' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.19
17.19
After-hype Price
20.43
Upside
Guangdong Wens is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guangdong Wens Foodstuff is based on 3 months time horizon.

Guangdong Wens Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guangdong Wens is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guangdong Wens backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guangdong Wens, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
3.27
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.19
17.19
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Guangdong Wens Hype Timeline

Guangdong Wens Foodstuff is presently traded for 17.19on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Guangdong is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guangdong Wens is about 2893.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.18. About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Guangdong Wens was presently reported as 5.9. The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. Guangdong Wens Foodstuff had 1.2:1 split on the 11th of June 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Guangdong Wens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Guangdong Wens Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Guangdong Wens' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guangdong Wens' future price movements. Getting to know how Guangdong Wens' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guangdong Wens may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
605259Lutian Machinery Co 0.00 0 per month 2.16  0.10  3.47 (3.43) 14.98 
601857PetroChina Co Ltd(0.09)2 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.43 (3.33) 17.17 
601988Bank of China 0.14 3 per month 1.48 (0.05) 2.67 (2.86) 7.70 
600307Gansu Jiu Steel 0.06 1 per month 2.90  0.13  9.56 (3.55) 19.98 
601615Ming Yang Smart 0.13 2 per month 2.30  0.17  7.78 (4.15) 18.14 
300261Aba Chemicals Corp(0.32)1 per month 4.03  0.11  12.80 (6.28) 30.23 
000683Inner Mongolia Yuan 0.07 1 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.08 (4.23) 19.10 
300590Queclink Wireless Solutions 0.64 2 per month 3.91  0.09  5.96 (5.99) 36.78 
300049Inner Mongolia Furui 0.30 3 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.57 (7.51) 28.09 
002605Shanghai Yaoji Playing(2.06)1 per month 3.27  0.19  9.99 (6.01) 19.99 

Guangdong Wens Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Guangdong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guangdong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guangdong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Guangdong Wens Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Guangdong Wens stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guangdong Wens Foodstuff, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guangdong Wens based on analysis of Guangdong Wens hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guangdong Wens's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guangdong Wens's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Guangdong Wens

The number of cover stories for Guangdong Wens depends on current market conditions and Guangdong Wens' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guangdong Wens is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guangdong Wens' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Guangdong Wens Short Properties

Guangdong Wens' future price predictability will typically decrease when Guangdong Wens' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guangdong Wens Foodstuff often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guangdong Wens' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guangdong Wens' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.7 B

Complementary Tools for Guangdong Stock analysis

When running Guangdong Wens' price analysis, check to measure Guangdong Wens' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guangdong Wens is operating at the current time. Most of Guangdong Wens' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guangdong Wens' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guangdong Wens' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guangdong Wens to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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