JCET Group (China) Price Prediction
| 600584 Stock | 38.55 1.01 2.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Wall Street Target Price 40.45 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.24 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.149 |
Using JCET Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JCET Group Co from the perspective of JCET Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in JCET Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying JCET because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
JCET Group after-hype prediction price | CNY 38.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
JCET |
JCET Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JCET Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JCET Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JCET Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JCET Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JCET Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JCET Group's historical news coverage. JCET Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.15 and 41.95, respectively. We have considered JCET Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JCET Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JCET Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
JCET Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JCET Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JCET Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JCET Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.55 | 3.40 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.55 | 38.55 | 0.00 |
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JCET Group Hype Timeline
JCET Group is presently traded for 38.55on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.16. JCET is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.55%. %. The volatility of related hype on JCET Group is about 1178.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.71. About 13.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of JCET Group was presently reported as 14.99. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of June 2024. JCET Group had 2:1 split on the 29th of April 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out JCET Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.JCET Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JCET Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JCET Group's future price movements. Getting to know how JCET Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JCET Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 603096 | Thinkingdom Media Group | 0.57 | 1 per month | 2.80 | 0.12 | 6.69 | (3.59) | 19.79 | |
| 001300 | Sportsoul Co Ltd | 1.16 | 1 per month | 2.95 | 0.12 | 6.32 | (4.99) | 19.19 | |
| 002115 | Sunwave Communications Co | 0.32 | 1 per month | 3.19 | 0.22 | 10.00 | (4.97) | 19.22 | |
| 600685 | CSSC Offshore Marine | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.80 | (0.05) | 3.93 | (4.16) | 15.71 | |
| 603043 | Guangzhou Restaurants Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.04 | 4.19 | (3.00) | 18.46 | |
| 601949 | China Publishing Media | (0.03) | 1 per month | 3.37 | 0.14 | 7.37 | (5.84) | 20.05 | |
| 002951 | Sichuan Jinshi Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.18 | 0.19 | 5.02 | (4.78) | 10.15 |
JCET Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JCET price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JCET using various technical indicators. When you analyze JCET charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About JCET Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of JCET Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as JCET Group Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of JCET Group based on analysis of JCET Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to JCET Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to JCET Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for JCET Group
The number of cover stories for JCET Group depends on current market conditions and JCET Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JCET Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JCET Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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JCET Group Short Properties
JCET Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when JCET Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JCET Group Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JCET Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JCET Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B |
Complementary Tools for JCET Stock analysis
When running JCET Group's price analysis, check to measure JCET Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JCET Group is operating at the current time. Most of JCET Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JCET Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JCET Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JCET Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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