Evolent Health (Germany) Price Prediction
| 9EH Stock | EUR 10.50 0.10 0.94% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Evolent Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Evolent Health from the perspective of Evolent Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Evolent Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Evolent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Evolent Health after-hype prediction price | EUR 10.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Evolent |
Evolent Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Evolent Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Evolent Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Evolent Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Evolent Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Evolent Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Evolent Health's historical news coverage. Evolent Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.42 and 16.58, respectively. We have considered Evolent Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Evolent Health is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Evolent Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Evolent Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Evolent Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Evolent Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Evolent Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.27 | 6.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.50 | 10.50 | 0.00 |
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Evolent Health Hype Timeline
Evolent Health is presently traded for 10.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Evolent is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -1.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Evolent Health is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.50. About 15.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Evolent Health was presently reported as 8.6. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.19. Evolent Health had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Evolent Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Evolent Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Evolent Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Evolent Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Evolent Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Evolent Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 9EH | Evolent Health | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 5.71 | (7.44) | 42.67 | |
| COP | CompuGroup Medical SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | 0.14 | 6.62 | (3.73) | 17.37 | |
| COP | Compugroup Medical SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | 0.12 | 6.25 | (3.42) | 13.68 | |
| 8SP | Superior Plus Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.36 | (3.96) | 20.22 | |
| 6NM | NMI Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | (0.05) | 2.89 | (2.69) | 9.64 | |
| 2DG | SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 9.09 | (10.00) | 52.42 | |
| TM9 | NorAm Drilling AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.24 | 0 | 5.56 | (6.43) | 36.50 | |
| 6HW | BANK HANDLOWY | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.41 | (1.41) | 4.75 | |
| NOH1 | Norsk Hydro ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | 0.09 | 6.61 | (3.25) | 12.96 | |
| RS6 | Reliance Steel Aluminum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.07 | 2.94 | (2.03) | 13.65 |
Evolent Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Evolent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Evolent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Evolent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Evolent Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Evolent Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Evolent Health, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Evolent Health based on analysis of Evolent Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Evolent Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Evolent Health's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Evolent Health
The number of cover stories for Evolent Health depends on current market conditions and Evolent Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Evolent Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Evolent Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Evolent Health Short Properties
Evolent Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Evolent Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Evolent Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Evolent Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Evolent Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Evolent Stock analysis
When running Evolent Health's price analysis, check to measure Evolent Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Evolent Health is operating at the current time. Most of Evolent Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Evolent Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Evolent Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Evolent Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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