Autohome Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 24.76 30.31 32.64 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 23.27 25.60 27.92 Details

14 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 34.89 38.34 42.56 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.55 0.57 0.59 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Autohome. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Autohome's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Autohome's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Autohome.

Autohome After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Autohome Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Autohome Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.19	2.33	0.15	0.05	7 Events / Month	6 Events / Month	In about 7 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
27.51	27.66	0.55	298.72   Notes

Autohome Hype Timeline

Autohome is presently traded for 27.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Autohome is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.55%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Autohome is about 932.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.56. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.18 B. Net Income was 1.93 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.71 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Autohome Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Autohome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Autohome guide.

Autohome Related Hype Analysis

Autohome Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Autohome price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Autohome using various technical indicators. When you analyze Autohome charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Autohome stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Autohome, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Autohome based on analysis of Autohome hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Autohome depends on current market conditions and Autohome's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Autohome is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Autohome's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Autohome's future price predictability will typically decrease when Autohome's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Autohome often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Autohome's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Autohome's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Autohome Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Autohome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Autohome guide.You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Autohome. If investors know Autohome will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Autohome listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Autohome is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Autohome that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Autohome's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Autohome's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Autohome's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Autohome's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Autohome's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Autohome is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Autohome's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.