Braskem Sa Class Stock Price Prediction
| BAK Stock | USD 5.02 0.06 1.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
24
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.01 | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.28) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.12) | Wall Street Target Price 9.44 |
Using Braskem SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Braskem SA Class from the perspective of Braskem SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Braskem SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Braskem because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Braskem SA after-hype prediction price | USD 5.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Braskem |
Braskem SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Braskem SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Braskem SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Braskem SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Braskem SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Braskem SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Braskem SA's historical news coverage. Braskem SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.27 and 7.75, respectively. We have considered Braskem SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Braskem SA is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Braskem SA Class is based on 3 months time horizon.
Braskem SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Braskem SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Braskem SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Braskem SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.74 | 0.01 | 0.17 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.02 | 5.01 | 0.20 |
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Braskem SA Hype Timeline
On the 1st of December Braskem SA Class is traded for 5.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Braskem is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Braskem SA is about 586.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.85. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.95. Braskem SA Class last dividend was issued on the 20th of April 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 16th of May 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Braskem SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Braskem SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Braskem SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Braskem SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Braskem SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Braskem SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VHI | Valhi Inc | (1.00) | 10 per month | 5.13 | (0.03) | 7.98 | (5.35) | 39.51 | |
| HUN | Huntsman | 0.49 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.75 | (3.35) | 10.23 | |
| UNVR | Univar Inc | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.71) | 0.31 | (0.22) | 0.79 | |
| LXU | Lsb Industries | (0.34) | 8 per month | 2.21 | 0.03 | 4.56 | (4.10) | 18.88 | |
| WLKP | Westlake Chemical Partners | 0.09 | 8 per month | 0.31 | (0.06) | 0.87 | (0.68) | 2.20 | |
| TROX | Tronox Holdings PLC | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.18 | (4.98) | 17.98 | |
| SIRE | Sisecam Resources LP | (0.43) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.51) | 0.24 | (0.20) | 1.16 | |
| ASIX | AdvanSix | 0.12 | 10 per month | 1.65 | 0.01 | 3.06 | (2.64) | 9.70 | |
| MEOH | Methanex | 0.33 | 8 per month | 2.66 | (0.02) | 3.29 | (4.72) | 10.20 | |
| GPRE | Green Plains Renewable | (0.70) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.47 | (7.90) | 19.80 | |
| CE | Celanese | (5.19) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.94 | (4.77) | 33.85 | |
| DOW | Dow Inc | 0.99 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.01 | (2.66) | 8.48 |
Braskem SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Braskem price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Braskem using various technical indicators. When you analyze Braskem charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Braskem SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Braskem SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Braskem SA Class, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Braskem SA based on analysis of Braskem SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Braskem SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Braskem SA's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.13 | 0.073 | 4.16E-4 | 3.96E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.43 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.23 |
Story Coverage note for Braskem SA
The number of cover stories for Braskem SA depends on current market conditions and Braskem SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Braskem SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Braskem SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Braskem SA Short Properties
Braskem SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Braskem SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Braskem SA Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Braskem SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Braskem SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 796.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.1 B |
Check out Braskem SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Commodity Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Braskem SA. If investors know Braskem will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Braskem SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | Earnings Share (3.95) | Revenue Per Share 177.152 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.275 | Return On Assets 0.024 |
The market value of Braskem SA Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Braskem that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Braskem SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Braskem SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Braskem SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Braskem SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Braskem SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Braskem SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Braskem SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.