Catur Sentosa (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| CSAP Stock | IDR 450.00 4.00 0.88% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Catur Sentosa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Catur Sentosa Adiprana from the perspective of Catur Sentosa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Catur Sentosa to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Catur because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Catur Sentosa after-hype prediction price | IDR 454.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Catur |
Catur Sentosa After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Catur Sentosa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Catur Sentosa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Catur Sentosa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Catur Sentosa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Catur Sentosa's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Catur Sentosa's historical news coverage. Catur Sentosa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 451.34 and 456.66, respectively. We have considered Catur Sentosa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Catur Sentosa is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Catur Sentosa Adiprana is based on 3 months time horizon.
Catur Sentosa Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Catur Sentosa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Catur Sentosa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Catur Sentosa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
450.00 | 454.00 | 0.00 |
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Catur Sentosa Hype Timeline
Catur Sentosa Adiprana is currently traded for 450.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Catur is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Catur Sentosa is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 450.00. About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.6. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Catur Sentosa Adiprana recorded earning per share (EPS) of 54.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Catur Sentosa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Catur Sentosa Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Catur Sentosa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Catur Sentosa's future price movements. Getting to know how Catur Sentosa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Catur Sentosa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DGIK | Nusa Konstruksi Enjiniring | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.22 | (1.20) | 4.85 | |
| BKDP | Bukit Darmo Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | 0.16 | 6.98 | (4.00) | 14.35 | |
| BAYU | Bayu Buana Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.95 | (0.09) | 2.24 | (1.74) | 6.66 | |
| ASGR | Astra Graphia Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | 0.04 | 2.43 | (1.69) | 5.70 | |
| CLPI | Colorpak Indonesia Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.48 | (0.93) | 2.37 |
Catur Sentosa Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Catur price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Catur using various technical indicators. When you analyze Catur charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Catur Sentosa Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Catur Sentosa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Catur Sentosa Adiprana, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Catur Sentosa based on analysis of Catur Sentosa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Catur Sentosa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Catur Sentosa's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Catur Sentosa
The number of cover stories for Catur Sentosa depends on current market conditions and Catur Sentosa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Catur Sentosa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Catur Sentosa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Catur Sentosa Short Properties
Catur Sentosa's future price predictability will typically decrease when Catur Sentosa's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Catur Sentosa Adiprana often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Catur Sentosa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Catur Sentosa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.9 B |
Other Information on Investing in Catur Stock
Catur Sentosa financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catur Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catur with respect to the benefits of owning Catur Sentosa security.