First Citizens Bancshares Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 1,939 1,942 2,524 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 2,292 2,295 2,298 Details

11 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 1,541 1,693 1,880 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 44.77 39.32 47.66 Details

First Citizens After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

First Citizens Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

First Citizens Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.26	3.11	4.26	0.07	11 Events / Month	4 Events / Month	In about 11 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
2,295	2,299	0.19	18.97   Notes

First Citizens Hype Timeline

First Citizens BancShares is currently traded for 2,295. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 4.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. First is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2299.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 18.97%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on First Citizens is about 1144.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,295. The company reported the revenue of 7.6 B. Net Income was 11.47 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out First Citizens Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Citizens Related Hype Analysis

First Citizens Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of First Citizens stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Citizens BancShares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Citizens based on analysis of First Citizens hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for First Citizens depends on current market conditions and First Citizens' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Citizens is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Citizens' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Citizens' future price predictability will typically decrease when First Citizens' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Citizens BancShares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Citizens' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Citizens' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running First Citizens' price analysis, check to measure First Citizens' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Citizens is operating at the current time. Most of First Citizens' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Citizens' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Citizens' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Citizens to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.