Flex Stock Price Prediction
| FLEX Stock | USD 38.97 0.15 0.39% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.049 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.65 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.35 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.3 | Wall Street Target Price 42.2625 |
Using Flex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flex from the perspective of Flex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Flex Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Flex's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Flex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Flex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Flex. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Flex's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Flex.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Flex to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Flex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Flex after-hype prediction price | USD 38.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Flex |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flex After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Flex at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flex or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flex, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Flex Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Flex's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flex's historical news coverage. Flex's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.52 and 41.40, respectively. We have considered Flex's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Flex is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flex is based on 3 months time horizon.
Flex Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flex is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flex backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flex, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 2.44 | 0.01 | 0.81 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
38.97 | 38.96 | 0.03 |
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Flex Hype Timeline
Flex is currently traded for 38.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.81. Flex is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 38.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Flex is about 126.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.78. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Flex was currently reported as 12.84. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.97. Flex had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1327:1000 split on the 3rd of January 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Flex Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Flex Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Flex's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flex's future price movements. Getting to know how Flex's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flex may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SANM | Sanmina | 5.67 | 7 per month | 1.40 | 0.05 | 2.35 | (2.64) | 15.90 | |
| FN | Fabrinet | 0.62 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.68 | (6.81) | 16.19 | |
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | 1.58 | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.13 | 3.38 | (1.91) | 12.92 | |
| APH | Amphenol | 1.07 | 8 per month | 1.94 | 0.01 | 2.78 | (2.49) | 9.18 | |
| CLS | Celestica | 2.90 | 10 per month | 2.87 | 0.19 | 5.42 | (4.05) | 22.27 | |
| BHE | Benchmark Electronics | 0.50 | 9 per month | 1.81 | 0.04 | 3.16 | (3.84) | 13.28 | |
| JBL | Jabil Circuit | 3.38 | 10 per month | 1.19 | 0.11 | 2.80 | (2.04) | 15.06 | |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 1.63 | 9 per month | 1.67 | 0.04 | 2.78 | (2.79) | 15.09 | |
| MEI | Methode Electronics | (0.05) | 12 per month | 3.24 | 0.01 | 7.64 | (5.30) | 18.54 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | (1.95) | 11 per month | 1.65 | 0.09 | 3.51 | (2.91) | 9.44 | |
| VICR | Vicor | 5.91 | 11 per month | 2.40 | 0.12 | 8.87 | (4.27) | 21.20 |
Flex Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Flex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Flex Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Flex stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Flex, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Flex based on analysis of Flex hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Flex's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Flex's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001895 | 0.00199 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.47 | 0.57 |
Story Coverage note for Flex
The number of cover stories for Flex depends on current market conditions and Flex's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flex is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flex's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Flex Short Properties
Flex's future price predictability will typically decrease when Flex's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Flex often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Flex's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flex's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 441 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
Additional Tools for Flex Stock Analysis
When running Flex's price analysis, check to measure Flex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flex is operating at the current time. Most of Flex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.