Hanmi Financial Stock Price Prediction

HAFC Stock  USD 26.75  0.04  0.15%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Hanmi Financial's the stock price is about 68. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hanmi, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hanmi Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hanmi Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hanmi Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.21)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.49
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.9883
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.27
Wall Street Target Price
24.5
Using Hanmi Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hanmi Financial from the perspective of Hanmi Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Hanmi Financial using Hanmi Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Hanmi using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Hanmi Financial's stock price.

Hanmi Financial Implied Volatility

    
  1.5  
Hanmi Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Hanmi Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Hanmi Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Hanmi Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Hanmi Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hanmi Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hanmi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hanmi Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Hanmi Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Hanmi Stock refer to our How to Trade Hanmi Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.8724.5227.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.3026.9629.61
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.3820.2022.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.490.510.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hanmi Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hanmi Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hanmi Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hanmi Financial.

Hanmi Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hanmi Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hanmi Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hanmi Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hanmi Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hanmi Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hanmi Financial's historical news coverage. Hanmi Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.71 and 29.01, respectively. We have considered Hanmi Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
26.75
26.36
After-hype Price
29.01
Upside
Hanmi Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hanmi Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hanmi Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hanmi Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hanmi Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hanmi Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.56 
2.65
  0.39 
  0.06 
10 Events / Month
13 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.75
26.36
1.46 
378.57  
Notes

Hanmi Financial Hype Timeline

Hanmi Financial is currently traded for 26.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.39, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Hanmi is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.46%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on Hanmi Financial is about 2409.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.81. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Hanmi Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.14. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of November 2024. The firm had 1:8 split on the 19th of December 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Hanmi Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Hanmi Stock refer to our How to Trade Hanmi Stock guide.

Hanmi Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hanmi Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hanmi Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Hanmi Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hanmi Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OPBKOP Bancorp 0.42 5 per month 0.78  0.20  3.01 (2.13) 14.64 
PCBPCB Bancorp 0.03 6 per month 1.32  0.04  3.69 (2.20) 8.28 
HTBKHeritage Commerce Corp(0.05)6 per month 1.42  0  2.93 (2.24) 17.09 
RVSBRiverview Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.46  0.13  2.73 (1.49) 5.45 
HOPEHope Bancorp 0.03 9 per month 1.57  0.02  3.19 (2.75) 19.73 
NBNNortheast Bancorp 0.21 6 per month 0.73  0.19  4.85 (2.02) 12.84 
RBBRBB Bancorp 0.38 7 per month 1.45 (0) 2.79 (2.53) 10.92 
FNWDFinward Bancorp 0.14 8 per month 0.74  0.05  2.48 (1.80) 12.55 
NFBKNorthfield Bancorp(0.15)7 per month 1.84  0.04  4.14 (2.85) 20.29 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.08)10 per month 1.12  0.01  2.53 (2.16) 9.14 
FCCOFirst Community 1.72 7 per month 1.00  0.09  3.05 (2.20) 10.76 
LNKBLINKBANCORP(0.01)5 per month 1.33  0.08  3.72 (2.38) 10.82 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares(0.11)7 per month 0.46 (0.20) 0.79 (0.65) 4.44 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.75 (4.31) 17.43 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.09  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 

Hanmi Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hanmi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hanmi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hanmi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hanmi Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hanmi Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hanmi Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hanmi Financial based on analysis of Hanmi Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hanmi Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hanmi Financial's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03820.0520.0546
Price To Sales Ratio2.762.363.93

Story Coverage note for Hanmi Financial

The number of cover stories for Hanmi Financial depends on current market conditions and Hanmi Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hanmi Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hanmi Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Hanmi Financial Short Properties

Hanmi Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hanmi Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hanmi Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hanmi Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hanmi Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Complementary Tools for Hanmi Stock analysis

When running Hanmi Financial's price analysis, check to measure Hanmi Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hanmi Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Hanmi Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hanmi Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hanmi Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hanmi Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Crypto Correlations
Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal