Intercontinental Hotels Group Stock Price Prediction
| ICHGF Stock | USD 122.55 5.23 4.46% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
91
Oversold | Overbought |
Using InterContinental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of InterContinental Hotels Group from the perspective of InterContinental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in InterContinental to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying InterContinental because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
InterContinental after-hype prediction price | USD 122.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
InterContinental |
InterContinental After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of InterContinental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in InterContinental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of InterContinental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
InterContinental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting InterContinental's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on InterContinental's historical news coverage. InterContinental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 120.43 and 124.67, respectively. We have considered InterContinental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
InterContinental is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of InterContinental Hotels is based on 3 months time horizon.
InterContinental Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as InterContinental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading InterContinental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with InterContinental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.12 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
122.55 | 122.55 | 0.00 |
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InterContinental Hype Timeline
InterContinental Hotels is currently traded for 122.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.22. InterContinental is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on InterContinental is about 312.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 122.77. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.64. InterContinental Hotels last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2022. The entity had 949:1000 split on the 14th of January 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out InterContinental Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.InterContinental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to InterContinental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict InterContinental's future price movements. Getting to know how InterContinental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how InterContinental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| H | Hyatt Hotels | 1.41 | 8 per month | 2.00 | (0) | 2.80 | (3.06) | 11.34 | |
| CHH | Choice Hotels International | 0.95 | 10 per month | 0.91 | 0.09 | 2.47 | (1.86) | 7.92 | |
| HLT | Hilton Worldwide Holdings | 1.14 | 9 per month | 0.82 | 0.1 | 2.06 | (1.65) | 5.61 | |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels Resorts | (0.23) | 8 per month | 0.83 | 0.14 | 2.63 | (1.91) | 12.06 | |
| HTHT | Huazhu Group | 0.12 | 9 per month | 2.01 | 0.03 | 6.30 | (3.36) | 22.48 |
InterContinental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine InterContinental price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for InterContinental using various technical indicators. When you analyze InterContinental charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About InterContinental Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of InterContinental stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as InterContinental Hotels Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of InterContinental based on analysis of InterContinental hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to InterContinental's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to InterContinental's related companies.
Story Coverage note for InterContinental
The number of cover stories for InterContinental depends on current market conditions and InterContinental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that InterContinental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about InterContinental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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InterContinental Short Properties
InterContinental's future price predictability will typically decrease when InterContinental's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of InterContinental Hotels Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential InterContinental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. InterContinental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184 M |
Complementary Tools for InterContinental Pink Sheet analysis
When running InterContinental's price analysis, check to measure InterContinental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy InterContinental is operating at the current time. Most of InterContinental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of InterContinental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move InterContinental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of InterContinental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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