Invesco Mortgage Capital Stock Price Prediction
| IVR Stock | USD 8.35 0.07 0.85% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.255 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.77 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.1126 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8659 | Wall Street Target Price 8.8333 |
Using Invesco Mortgage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Invesco Mortgage Capital from the perspective of Invesco Mortgage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Invesco Mortgage to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Invesco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Invesco Mortgage after-hype prediction price | USD 8.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Invesco |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invesco Mortgage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invesco Mortgage After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Invesco Mortgage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Invesco Mortgage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Invesco Mortgage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Invesco Mortgage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Invesco Mortgage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Invesco Mortgage's historical news coverage. Invesco Mortgage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.97 and 9.73, respectively. We have considered Invesco Mortgage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Invesco Mortgage is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Invesco Mortgage Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Invesco Mortgage Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Invesco Mortgage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Invesco Mortgage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Invesco Mortgage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.35 | 8.35 | 0.00 |
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Invesco Mortgage Hype Timeline
On the 1st of December Invesco Mortgage Capital is traded for 8.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Invesco is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Invesco Mortgage is about 1682.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.35. About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Invesco Mortgage Capital last dividend was issued on the 7th of October 2024. The entity had 1:10 split on the 6th of June 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Invesco Mortgage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Invesco Mortgage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Invesco Mortgage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Invesco Mortgage's future price movements. Getting to know how Invesco Mortgage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Invesco Mortgage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MFA | MFA Financial | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.66 | (2.53) | 9.82 | |
| TWO | Two Harbors Investments | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 1.42 | (2.21) | 8.41 | |
| NYMT | New York Mortgage | 0.15 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.94 | (3.32) | 7.18 | |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | 0.28 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.47 | (2.02) | 4.86 | |
| CIM | Chimera Investment | 0.13 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.69 | (2.36) | 8.55 |
Invesco Mortgage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Invesco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Invesco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Invesco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Invesco Mortgage Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Invesco Mortgage stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Invesco Mortgage Capital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Invesco Mortgage based on analysis of Invesco Mortgage hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Invesco Mortgage's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Invesco Mortgage's related companies. | 2020 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.43 | 0.54 | 0.5 | Dividend Yield | 0.23 | 0.32 | 0.26 |
Story Coverage note for Invesco Mortgage
The number of cover stories for Invesco Mortgage depends on current market conditions and Invesco Mortgage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Invesco Mortgage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Invesco Mortgage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Invesco Mortgage Short Properties
Invesco Mortgage's future price predictability will typically decrease when Invesco Mortgage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Invesco Mortgage Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Invesco Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77 M |
Additional Tools for Invesco Stock Analysis
When running Invesco Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure Invesco Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invesco Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of Invesco Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invesco Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invesco Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invesco Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.