Deutsche Lufthansa (Germany) Price Prediction
| LHA Stock | EUR 6.34 0.04 0.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Deutsche Lufthansa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Deutsche Lufthansa AG from the perspective of Deutsche Lufthansa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Deutsche Lufthansa to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Deutsche because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Deutsche Lufthansa after-hype prediction price | EUR 6.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Deutsche |
Deutsche Lufthansa After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Deutsche Lufthansa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Deutsche Lufthansa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Deutsche Lufthansa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Deutsche Lufthansa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Deutsche Lufthansa's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Deutsche Lufthansa's historical news coverage. Deutsche Lufthansa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.42 and 8.18, respectively. We have considered Deutsche Lufthansa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Deutsche Lufthansa is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Deutsche Lufthansa is based on 3 months time horizon.
Deutsche Lufthansa Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Deutsche Lufthansa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Deutsche Lufthansa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Deutsche Lufthansa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.34 | 6.30 | 0.00 |
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Deutsche Lufthansa Hype Timeline
Deutsche Lufthansa is now traded for 6.34on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Deutsche is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Deutsche Lufthansa is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.34. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.06. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Deutsche Lufthansa has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.32. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.33. The firm last dividend was issued on the 8th of May 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Deutsche Lufthansa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Deutsche Lufthansa Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Deutsche Lufthansa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Deutsche Lufthansa's future price movements. Getting to know how Deutsche Lufthansa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Deutsche Lufthansa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| M5V | EHEALTH | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.09 | 0.11 | 8.67 | (3.93) | 16.09 | |
| 3TY | TITAN MACHINERY | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.42 | 0.04 | 5.47 | (3.76) | 18.48 | |
| EK7A | AGRICULTBK HADR25 YC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | 0.06 | 4.76 | (3.61) | 11.57 | |
| HBO | DiamondRock Hospitality | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.30 | 0.03 | 5.22 | (2.42) | 30.77 | |
| CE3 | Chongqing Machinery Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.71 | 0.07 | 5.59 | (2.70) | 17.45 | |
| UAO | Sterling Construction | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | 0.20 | 8.21 | (2.72) | 17.61 | |
| GRG | Granite Construction | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | 0.19 | 3.00 | (1.97) | 12.49 |
Deutsche Lufthansa Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Deutsche price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Deutsche using various technical indicators. When you analyze Deutsche charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Deutsche Lufthansa Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Deutsche Lufthansa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Deutsche Lufthansa AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Deutsche Lufthansa based on analysis of Deutsche Lufthansa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Deutsche Lufthansa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Deutsche Lufthansa's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Deutsche Lufthansa
The number of cover stories for Deutsche Lufthansa depends on current market conditions and Deutsche Lufthansa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Deutsche Lufthansa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Deutsche Lufthansa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Deutsche Lufthansa Short Properties
Deutsche Lufthansa's future price predictability will typically decrease when Deutsche Lufthansa's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Deutsche Lufthansa AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Deutsche Lufthansa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deutsche Lufthansa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Deutsche Stock analysis
When running Deutsche Lufthansa's price analysis, check to measure Deutsche Lufthansa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deutsche Lufthansa is operating at the current time. Most of Deutsche Lufthansa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deutsche Lufthansa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deutsche Lufthansa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deutsche Lufthansa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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