Light Wonder (Australia) Price Prediction
| LNW Stock | 146.50 6.51 4.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.3431 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.9454 | Wall Street Target Price 179.5463 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.07 |
Using Light Wonder hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Light Wonder from the perspective of Light Wonder response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Light Wonder to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Light because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Light Wonder after-hype prediction price | AUD 146.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Light |
Light Wonder After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Light Wonder at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Light Wonder or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Light Wonder, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Light Wonder Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Light Wonder's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Light Wonder's historical news coverage. Light Wonder's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 143.39 and 149.81, respectively. We have considered Light Wonder's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Light Wonder is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Light Wonder is based on 3 months time horizon.
Light Wonder Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Light Wonder is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Light Wonder backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Light Wonder, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 3.21 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
146.50 | 146.60 | 0.07 |
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Light Wonder Hype Timeline
Light Wonder is now traded for 146.50on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Light is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 146.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Light Wonder is about 2164.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 146.52. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Light Wonder Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Light Wonder Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Light Wonder's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Light Wonder's future price movements. Getting to know how Light Wonder's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Light Wonder may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ERD | EROAD | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.00 | (5.88) | 16.24 | |
| CIN | Carlton Investments | 0.76 | 3 per month | 0.57 | (0.12) | 1.28 | (1.17) | 4.03 | |
| ASG | Autosports Group | 0.03 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.24 | (2.33) | 11.76 | |
| SRH | Saferoads Holdings | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MIR | Mirrabooka Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | (0.09) | 1.48 | (1.16) | 3.87 | |
| AUI | Australian United Investment | 0.08 | 1 per month | 0.65 | (0.13) | 1.27 | (1.10) | 3.91 |
Light Wonder Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Light price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Light using various technical indicators. When you analyze Light charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Light Wonder Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Light Wonder stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Light Wonder, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Light Wonder based on analysis of Light Wonder hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Light Wonder's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Light Wonder's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Light Wonder
The number of cover stories for Light Wonder depends on current market conditions and Light Wonder's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Light Wonder is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Light Wonder's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Light Stock Analysis
When running Light Wonder's price analysis, check to measure Light Wonder's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Light Wonder is operating at the current time. Most of Light Wonder's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Light Wonder's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Light Wonder's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Light Wonder to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.