On24 Inc Stock Price Prediction

ONTF Stock  USD 6.61  0.03  0.46%   
As of 1st of December 2024, The relative strength indicator of ON24's share price is at 53. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ON24, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ON24's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ON24 and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ON24's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ON24 Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ON24's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.01
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.0954
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.0845
Wall Street Target Price
7.6667
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Using ON24 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ON24 Inc from the perspective of ON24 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ON24 to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ON24 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ON24 after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out ON24 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ON24's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.387.569.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.476.658.84
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.898.679.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.020.03
Details

ON24 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ON24 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ON24 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ON24, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ON24 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ON24's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ON24's historical news coverage. ON24's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.50 and 8.86, respectively. We have considered ON24's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.61
6.68
After-hype Price
8.86
Upside
ON24 is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ON24 Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

ON24 Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ON24 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ON24 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ON24, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
2.18
  0.07 
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.61
6.68
1.06 
325.37  
Notes

ON24 Hype Timeline

ON24 Inc is now traded for 6.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. ON24 is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 1.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on ON24 is about 2595.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.60. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 163.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (51.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.48 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out ON24 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ON24 Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ON24's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ON24's future price movements. Getting to know how ON24's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ON24 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MODNModel N(0.04)8 per month 0.29  0.02  1.01 (0.50) 10.58 
ENFNEnfusion 0.09 9 per month 1.49  0.10  3.93 (2.90) 10.11 
PYCRPaycor HCM(0.07)9 per month 1.40  0.12  3.12 (2.96) 9.64 
PWSCPowerschool Holdings 0.01 11 per month 0.00 (0.95) 0.18 (0.13) 0.71 
MNTVMomentive Global(0.02)8 per month 0.00  0.14  0.43 (0.21) 20.63 
PROPROS Holdings 0.39 9 per month 3.07  0.07  6.36 (4.84) 13.99 
MIXTMix Telemats 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.52 (3.34) 12.12 
MLNKMeridianlink(0.30)11 per month 2.34 (0.03) 3.17 (3.18) 14.62 
AMSWAAmerican Software 0.13 7 per month 1.18  0.08  3.79 (2.53) 10.40 
CCRDCoreCard Corp 0.23 7 per month 1.92  0.18  5.16 (3.71) 9.62 
VTEXVTEX 0.15 10 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.78 (3.53) 11.44 
EXFYExpensify 0.04 8 per month 2.76  0.11  11.36 (3.85) 27.58 
CWANClearwater Analytics Holdings(1.11)9 per month 1.42  0.11  2.80 (2.78) 18.70 
PCORProcore Technologies 0.32 8 per month 1.35  0.16  4.79 (2.47) 9.89 
ALKTAlkami Technology(1.08)10 per month 2.36  0.07  5.03 (4.89) 12.66 

ON24 Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ON24 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ON24 using various technical indicators. When you analyze ON24 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About ON24 Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ON24 stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ON24 Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ON24 based on analysis of ON24 hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ON24's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ON24's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover15.1711.4523.1124.26
Days Of Inventory On Hand91.8690.8381.7559.66

Story Coverage note for ON24

The number of cover stories for ON24 depends on current market conditions and ON24's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ON24 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ON24's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

ON24 Short Properties

ON24's future price predictability will typically decrease when ON24's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ON24 Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ON24's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ON24's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments198.7 M

Complementary Tools for ON24 Stock analysis

When running ON24's price analysis, check to measure ON24's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ON24 is operating at the current time. Most of ON24's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ON24's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ON24's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ON24 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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