TFS FINANCIAL (Germany) Price Prediction
| PWT Stock | EUR 13.30 0.10 0.75% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TFS FINANCIAL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TFS FINANCIAL from the perspective of TFS FINANCIAL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in TFS FINANCIAL to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TFS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
TFS FINANCIAL after-hype prediction price | EUR 13.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TFS |
TFS FINANCIAL After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TFS FINANCIAL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TFS FINANCIAL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TFS FINANCIAL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TFS FINANCIAL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TFS FINANCIAL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TFS FINANCIAL's historical news coverage. TFS FINANCIAL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.40 and 15.20, respectively. We have considered TFS FINANCIAL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TFS FINANCIAL is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TFS FINANCIAL is based on 3 months time horizon.
TFS FINANCIAL Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TFS FINANCIAL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TFS FINANCIAL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TFS FINANCIAL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.30 | 13.30 | 0.00 |
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TFS FINANCIAL Hype Timeline
TFS FINANCIAL is at this time traded for 13.30on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TFS is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on TFS FINANCIAL is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.30. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of June 1970. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out TFS FINANCIAL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.TFS FINANCIAL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TFS FINANCIAL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TFS FINANCIAL's future price movements. Getting to know how TFS FINANCIAL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TFS FINANCIAL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WI8 | Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.12 | (2.36) | 4.56 | |
| SMM | Sumitomo Chemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.65 | (3.45) | 23.61 | |
| SUI | Sekisui Chemical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.01 | 3.65 | (2.11) | 11.67 | |
| 719 | 24SEVENOFFICE GROUP AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.26 | 0 | 2.99 | (3.85) | 29.13 | |
| 47X | CENTURIA OFFICE REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | (0.03) | 2.74 | (2.56) | 5.68 | |
| XSI | Sanyo Chemical Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.84 | (1.63) | 5.67 | |
| UEO | WESTLAKE CHEMICAL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.69 | (2.38) | 6.08 | |
| 96W | MAVEN WIRELESS SWEDEN | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.82 | (3.37) | 11.90 |
TFS FINANCIAL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TFS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TFS using various technical indicators. When you analyze TFS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About TFS FINANCIAL Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of TFS FINANCIAL stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as TFS FINANCIAL, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of TFS FINANCIAL based on analysis of TFS FINANCIAL hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to TFS FINANCIAL's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to TFS FINANCIAL's related companies.
Story Coverage note for TFS FINANCIAL
The number of cover stories for TFS FINANCIAL depends on current market conditions and TFS FINANCIAL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TFS FINANCIAL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TFS FINANCIAL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TFS FINANCIAL Short Properties
TFS FINANCIAL's future price predictability will typically decrease when TFS FINANCIAL's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TFS FINANCIAL often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TFS FINANCIAL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TFS FINANCIAL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 280.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 58.3 M |
Complementary Tools for TFS Stock analysis
When running TFS FINANCIAL's price analysis, check to measure TFS FINANCIAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TFS FINANCIAL is operating at the current time. Most of TFS FINANCIAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TFS FINANCIAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TFS FINANCIAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TFS FINANCIAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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