Rf Industries Stock Price Prediction
| RFIL Stock | USD 4.18 0.07 1.65% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.134 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.01 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.15 | Wall Street Target Price 4.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.06 |
Using RF Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RF Industries from the perspective of RF Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in RF Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying RFIL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
RF Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 4.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
RFIL |
RF Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RF Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RF Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RF Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RF Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RF Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RF Industries' historical news coverage. RF Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.20 and 7.16, respectively. We have considered RF Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RF Industries is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RF Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
RF Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RF Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RF Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RF Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 3.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.18 | 4.18 | 0.00 |
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RF Industries Hype Timeline
RF Industries is at this time traded for 4.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. RFIL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on RF Industries is about 8333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.19. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.31. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. RF Industries recorded a loss per share of 0.69. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2020. The firm had 2:1 split on the 11th of March 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out RF Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.RF Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RF Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RF Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how RF Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RF Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NSYS | Nortech Systems Incorporated | 0.70 | 5 per month | 3.22 | (0.02) | 6.48 | (4.63) | 20.00 | |
| RELL | Richardson Electronics | (0.18) | 9 per month | 1.37 | 0.12 | 3.69 | (2.57) | 11.76 | |
| SMIT | Schmitt Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 24.92 | 0.16 | 240.31 | (62.12) | 332.62 | |
| TSRI | TSR Inc | (0.17) | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 2.96 | (1.80) | 70.42 | |
| ALOT | AstroNova | (0.17) | 6 per month | 2.18 | 0.03 | 4.91 | (4.52) | 10.94 |
RF Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RFIL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RFIL using various technical indicators. When you analyze RFIL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About RF Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of RF Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as RF Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of RF Industries based on analysis of RF Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to RF Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to RF Industries's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0108 | 0.0102 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.49 | 0.46 |
Story Coverage note for RF Industries
The number of cover stories for RF Industries depends on current market conditions and RF Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RF Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RF Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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RF Industries Short Properties
RF Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when RF Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RF Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RF Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RF Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.9 M |
Check out RF Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy RFIL Stock please use our How to buy in RFIL Stock guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RF Industries. If investors know RFIL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RF Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.134 | Earnings Share (0.69) | Revenue Per Share 5.969 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.076 | Return On Assets (0.02) |
The market value of RF Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RFIL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RF Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RF Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RF Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RF Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RF Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RF Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RF Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.