Star Bulk Carriers Stock Price Prediction
| SBLK Stock | USD 17.32 0.23 1.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.163 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9955 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7325 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9825 | Wall Street Target Price 26.44 |
Using Star Bulk hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Star Bulk Carriers from the perspective of Star Bulk response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Star Bulk Carriers Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Star Bulk's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Star. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Star can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Star Bulk Carriers. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Star Bulk's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Star Bulk.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Star Bulk to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Star because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Star Bulk after-hype prediction price | USD 17.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Star |
Star Bulk After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Star Bulk at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Star Bulk or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Star Bulk, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Star Bulk Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Star Bulk's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Star Bulk's historical news coverage. Star Bulk's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.24 and 19.26, respectively. We have considered Star Bulk's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Star Bulk is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Star Bulk Carriers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Star Bulk Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Star Bulk is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Star Bulk backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Star Bulk, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.01 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.32 | 17.25 | 0.40 |
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Star Bulk Hype Timeline
Star Bulk Carriers is at this time traded for 17.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Star is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.25. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Star Bulk is about 6237.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.33. About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.82. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Star Bulk Carriers has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of August 2024. The firm had 1:5 split on the 20th of June 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Star Bulk Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Star Bulk Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Star Bulk's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Star Bulk's future price movements. Getting to know how Star Bulk's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Star Bulk may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GNK | Genco Shipping Trading | (0.53) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.54 | (3.32) | 9.22 | |
| EGLE | Eagle Bulk Shipping | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.14 | (3.92) | 10.32 | |
| DSX | Diana Shipping | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.14 | (3.91) | 17.12 | |
| DAC | Danaos | 2.31 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.46 | (3.14) | 8.98 | |
| GOGL | Golden Ocean Group | 0.03 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.81 | (4.39) | 14.22 | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | (1.18) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.46 | (2.87) | 8.24 | |
| CMRE | Costamare | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.19 | (4.34) | 9.49 | |
| ASC | Ardmore Shpng | (0.26) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.42) | 2.45 | (3.85) | 10.53 | |
| OP | Oceanpal | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.33 | (5.71) | 15.48 |
Star Bulk Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Star price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Star using various technical indicators. When you analyze Star charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Star Bulk Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Star Bulk stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Star Bulk Carriers, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Star Bulk based on analysis of Star Bulk hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Star Bulk's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Star Bulk's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.1 | 0.34 | 0.0755 | 0.0717 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.61 | 1.37 | 2.21 | 2.09 |
Story Coverage note for Star Bulk
The number of cover stories for Star Bulk depends on current market conditions and Star Bulk's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Star Bulk is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Star Bulk's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Star Bulk Short Properties
Star Bulk's future price predictability will typically decrease when Star Bulk's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Star Bulk Carriers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Star Bulk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Star Bulk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 98.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 259.7 M |
Check out Star Bulk Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Star Bulk. If investors know Star will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Star Bulk listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.163 | Earnings Share 2.93 | Revenue Per Share 11.52 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.478 | Return On Assets 0.0562 |
The market value of Star Bulk Carriers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Star that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Star Bulk's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Star Bulk's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Star Bulk's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Star Bulk's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Star Bulk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Star Bulk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Star Bulk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.