Spencers Retail (India) Price Prediction
| SPENCERS | 85.57 0.12 0.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) |
Using Spencers Retail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spencers Retail Limited from the perspective of Spencers Retail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Spencers Retail to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Spencers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Spencers Retail after-hype prediction price | INR 85.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Spencers |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Spencers Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Spencers Retail After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spencers Retail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spencers Retail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spencers Retail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spencers Retail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spencers Retail's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spencers Retail's historical news coverage. Spencers Retail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 82.85 and 88.55, respectively. We have considered Spencers Retail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spencers Retail is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spencers Retail is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spencers Retail Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spencers Retail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spencers Retail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spencers Retail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.85 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
85.57 | 85.70 | 0.15 |
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Spencers Retail Hype Timeline
Spencers Retail is at this time traded for 85.57on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Spencers is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 85.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Spencers Retail is about 1628.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 85.53. The company reported the revenue of 23.45 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.66 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.38 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Spencers Retail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Spencers Retail Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spencers Retail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spencers Retail's future price movements. Getting to know how Spencers Retail's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spencers Retail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KINGFA | Kingfa Science Technology | (3.75) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.55 | (3.65) | 9.31 | |
| RICOAUTO | Rico Auto Industries | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.36 | (4.52) | 11.81 | |
| GATECHDVR | GACM Technologies Limited | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 4.08 | (5.56) | 12.29 | |
| COSMOFIRST | COSMO FIRST LIMITED | (12.20) | 1 per month | 1.90 | (0.06) | 3.00 | (3.76) | 9.76 | |
| DELTAMAGNT | Delta Manufacturing Limited | 1.07 | 1 per month | 2.10 | 0.03 | 9.79 | (3.72) | 19.73 | |
| TBZ | Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri | (3.80) | 3 per month | 3.44 | 0.03 | 10.00 | (5.61) | 27.64 | |
| PARAGMILK | Parag Milk Foods | 13.63 | 4 per month | 2.51 | (0.0008) | 5.30 | (4.75) | 12.83 | |
| HEUBACHIND | Heubach Colorants India | 1.10 | 2 per month | 3.20 | (0.02) | 6.95 | (3.00) | 28.86 | |
| CHEMCON | Chemcon Speciality Chemicals | (2.00) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.05 | (3.49) | 10.08 | |
| LEMONTREE | Lemon Tree Hotels | 4.29 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.73 | (3.19) | 9.41 |
Spencers Retail Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spencers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spencers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spencers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Spencers Retail Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Spencers Retail stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Spencers Retail Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Spencers Retail based on analysis of Spencers Retail hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Spencers Retail's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Spencers Retail's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Spencers Retail
The number of cover stories for Spencers Retail depends on current market conditions and Spencers Retail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spencers Retail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spencers Retail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Spencers Retail Short Properties
Spencers Retail's future price predictability will typically decrease when Spencers Retail's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spencers Retail Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spencers Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spencers Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 314.6 M |
Additional Tools for Spencers Stock Analysis
When running Spencers Retail's price analysis, check to measure Spencers Retail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spencers Retail is operating at the current time. Most of Spencers Retail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spencers Retail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spencers Retail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spencers Retail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.