Spirent Communications (UK) Price Prediction
| SPT Stock | 171.50 1.00 0.59% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0448 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0592 | Wall Street Target Price 202.06 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
Using Spirent Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spirent Communications plc from the perspective of Spirent Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Spirent Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Spirent because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Spirent Communications after-hype prediction price | GBX 171.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Spirent |
Spirent Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Spirent Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spirent Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spirent Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Spirent Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Spirent Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spirent Communications' historical news coverage. Spirent Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 170.73 and 172.13, respectively. We have considered Spirent Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Spirent Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spirent Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.
Spirent Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spirent Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spirent Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spirent Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.70 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
171.50 | 171.43 | 0.04 |
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Spirent Communications Hype Timeline
Spirent Communications is at this time traded for 171.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Spirent is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 171.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 63.64%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Spirent Communications is about 1005.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 171.50. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Spirent Communications was at this time reported as 0.65. The company last dividend was issued on the 10th of August 2023. Spirent Communications had 3:1 split on the 15th of May 2000. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Spirent Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Spirent Communications Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Spirent Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spirent Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Spirent Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spirent Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LLOY | Lloyds Banking Group | (0.08) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.03 | (2.67) | 9.67 | |
| PREM | Premier African Minerals | (0.02) | 1 per month | 7.69 | 0.01 | 10.39 | (9.41) | 52.78 | |
| 88E | 88 Energy | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.86 | (2.63) | 13.74 | |
| 0LQQ | Vodafone Group PLC | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.07 | (2.33) | 12.13 | |
| VOD | Vodafone Group PLC | 0.52 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.74 | (2.46) | 10.62 |
Spirent Communications Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Spirent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spirent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spirent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Spirent Communications Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Spirent Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Spirent Communications plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Spirent Communications based on analysis of Spirent Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Spirent Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Spirent Communications's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Spirent Communications
The number of cover stories for Spirent Communications depends on current market conditions and Spirent Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spirent Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spirent Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Spirent Communications Short Properties
Spirent Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Spirent Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spirent Communications plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spirent Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spirent Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 590.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 108.1 M |
Complementary Tools for Spirent Stock analysis
When running Spirent Communications' price analysis, check to measure Spirent Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spirent Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Spirent Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spirent Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spirent Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spirent Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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