Vantage Drilling International Stock Price Prediction
| VTDRF Stock | USD 25.50 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vantage Drilling hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vantage Drilling International from the perspective of Vantage Drilling response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vantage Drilling to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vantage because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vantage Drilling after-hype prediction price | USD 25.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vantage |
Vantage Drilling After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vantage Drilling at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vantage Drilling or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Vantage Drilling, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vantage Drilling Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vantage Drilling's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vantage Drilling's historical news coverage. Vantage Drilling's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.39 and 38.61, respectively. We have considered Vantage Drilling's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vantage Drilling is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vantage Drilling Int is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vantage Drilling Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vantage Drilling is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vantage Drilling backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vantage Drilling, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 13.11 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.50 | 25.50 | 0.00 |
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Vantage Drilling Hype Timeline
Vantage Drilling Int is at this time traded for 25.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. Vantage is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.61%. %. The volatility of related hype on Vantage Drilling is about 9460.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.58. About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.7. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vantage Drilling Int recorded a loss per share of 6.8. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be any time. Check out Vantage Drilling Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vantage Drilling Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vantage Drilling's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vantage Drilling's future price movements. Getting to know how Vantage Drilling's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vantage Drilling may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NE | Noble plc | 1.61 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.36 | (3.43) | 15.01 | |
| RIG | Transocean | 0.12 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.19 | (5.25) | 14.43 | |
| HP | Helmerich and Payne | 0.31 | 10 per month | 2.49 | 0.03 | 3.70 | (4.82) | 12.16 | |
| PTEN | Patterson UTI Energy | (0.23) | 9 per month | 2.68 | (0.03) | 3.53 | (4.41) | 18.37 | |
| SOC | Sable Offshore Corp | 0.99 | 12 per month | 5.74 | 0 | 6.52 | (8.18) | 32.69 | |
| BORR | Borr Drilling | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.04 | (5.32) | 12.96 | |
| PDS | Precision Drilling | (1.75) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.44 | (3.75) | 11.68 |
Vantage Drilling Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vantage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vantage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vantage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vantage Drilling Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vantage Drilling stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vantage Drilling International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vantage Drilling based on analysis of Vantage Drilling hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vantage Drilling's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vantage Drilling's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Vantage Drilling
The number of cover stories for Vantage Drilling depends on current market conditions and Vantage Drilling's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vantage Drilling is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vantage Drilling's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vantage Drilling Short Properties
Vantage Drilling's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vantage Drilling's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vantage Drilling International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vantage Drilling's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vantage Drilling's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Vantage Pink Sheet analysis
When running Vantage Drilling's price analysis, check to measure Vantage Drilling's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vantage Drilling is operating at the current time. Most of Vantage Drilling's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vantage Drilling's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vantage Drilling's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vantage Drilling to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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