Blue Bird Shares Owned By Insiders vs. Current Valuation

BLBD Stock  USD 41.35  1.34  3.35%   
Based on the measurements of profitability obtained from Blue Bird's financial statements, Blue Bird Corp may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in January. Profitability indicators assess Blue Bird's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders. As of December 12, 2024, Price To Sales Ratio is expected to decline to 0.04. In addition to that, Days Sales Outstanding is expected to decline to 4.05. At present, Blue Bird's Income Before Tax is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Income is expected to grow to about 110.8 M, whereas Total Other Income Expense Net is forecasted to decline to (13 M).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.130.1901
Way Down
Very volatile
For Blue Bird profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Blue Bird to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Blue Bird Corp utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Blue Bird's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Blue Bird Corp over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
  

Blue Bird's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

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Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Bird. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Bird listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.931
Earnings Share
3.16
Revenue Per Share
40.348
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.133
Return On Assets
0.2078
The market value of Blue Bird Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Bird's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Bird's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Bird's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Bird's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Bird's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Bird is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Bird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Blue Bird Corp Current Valuation vs. Shares Owned By Insiders Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Blue Bird's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Blue Bird value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Blue Bird Corp is rated third in shares owned by insiders category among its peers. It is the top company in current valuation category among its peers reporting about  2,042,954,695  of Current Valuation per Shares Owned By Insiders. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Blue Bird by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Blue Current Valuation vs. Shares Owned By Insiders

Shares Owned by Insiders show the percentage of outstanding shares owned by insiders (such as principal officers or members of the board of directors) or private individuals and entities with over 5% of the total shares outstanding. Company executives or private individuals with access to insider information share information about a firm's operations that is not available to the general public.

Blue Bird

Insiders Shares

 = 

Executives Shares

+

Employees

 = 
0.60 %
Although the research on effects of insider trading on prices and volatility is still relatively inconclusive, and investors are advised to pay close attention to the distribution of equities among company's stakeholders to avoid many problems associated with the disclosure of price-sensitive information.
Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.

Blue Bird

Enterprise Value

 = 

Market Cap + Debt

-

Cash

 = 
1.23 B
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.

Blue Current Valuation vs Competition

Blue Bird Corp is the top company in current valuation category among its peers. After adjusting for long-term liabilities, total market size of Industrials industry is currently estimated at about 110.83 Billion. Blue Bird claims roughly 1.23 Billion in current valuation contributing just under 2% to equities under Industrials industry.

Blue Bird Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Blue Bird, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Blue Bird will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Blue Bird's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Blue Bird, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-26.4 M-27.7 M
Operating Income139.3 M146.3 M
Income Before Tax126.9 M133.3 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-12.4 M-13 M
Net Income105.5 M110.8 M
Income Tax Expense33.2 M34.9 M
Net Income From Continuing Ops105.5 M110.8 M
Non Operating Income Net Other-2.1 M-2 M
Net Loss-41.2 M-39.1 M
Interest Income4.1 M4.3 M
Net Interest Income-6.4 M-6.8 M
Change To Netincome19.2 M20.1 M
Net Loss 3.27 (1.13)
Income Quality 1.05  0.17 
Net Income Per E B T 0.83  0.92 

Blue Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Blue Bird. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Blue Bird position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Blue Bird's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Use Blue Bird in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Blue Bird position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Blue Bird will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Blue Bird Pair Trading

Blue Bird Corp Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Blue Bird could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Blue Bird when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Blue Bird - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Blue Bird Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Blue Bird is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Blue Bird moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Blue Bird Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Blue Bird can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your Blue Bird position

In addition to having Blue Bird in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Aggressive Funds Thematic Idea Now

Aggressive Funds
Aggressive Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that attempt to achieve high capital gains by investing in companies with high growth potential and above average risk. The Aggressive Funds theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aggressive Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Blue Bird Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Blue Bird's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Blue Bird's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Blue Stock, refer to the following important reports:
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You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
To fully project Blue Bird's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of Blue Bird Corp at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include Blue Bird's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential Blue Bird investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although Blue Bird investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in Blue Bird's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on Blue Bird's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.