First National Corp Stock Analysis

FXNC Stock  USD 23.77  0.28  1.16%   
First National Corp is overvalued with Real Value of 20.9 and Target Price of 19.0. The main objective of First National stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what First National Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of First National's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The First National stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and First National's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First National Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

First Stock Analysis Notes

About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.72. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First National Corp last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of May 2005. First National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for First Bank that provides various commercial banking services to small and medium-sized businesses, individuals, estates, local governmental entities, and non-profit organizations in Virginia. The company was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Strasburg, Virginia. First Natl is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States. To learn more about First National Corp call Scott Harvard at 540 465 9121 or check out https://www.fbvirginia.com.

First National Quarterly Total Revenue

13.25 Million

First National Corp Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. First National's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding First National Corp or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
First National Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 6186 shares by Gerald Smith of First National subject to Rule 16b-3

First National Corp Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to First National previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
25th of January 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
25th of January 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

First Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact First National's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2009-10-22
2009-09-300.170.20.0317 
2010-10-22
2010-09-300.20.16-0.0420 
2024-07-31
2024-06-300.440.39-0.0511 
View All Earnings Estimates

First National Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

First National's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates First National's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of First National's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect First National's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

First Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Stifel Financial Corp2024-09-30
19.5 K
Rfg Advisory Group, Llc2024-09-30
19 K
Wealthcare Advisory Partners Llc2024-09-30
14.5 K
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-09-30
13.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
12.8 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
12.4 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
11.6 K
State Street Corp2024-09-30
11.4 K
Grace & White Inc2024-09-30
10.5 K
Fourthstone Llc2024-09-30
627.5 K
Siena Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
316.3 K
Note, although First National's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

First Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 215.74 M.

First Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.14 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.23 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.23.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.11 

Management Efficiency

At present, First National's Return On Assets are projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Return On Equity is expected to grow to 0.11, whereas Return On Capital Employed is forecasted to decline to 0.01. At present, First National's Non Current Assets Total are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 1.3 B, whereas Other Assets are forecasted to decline to about 4.4 M. First National's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well First National manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 18.56  19.49 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 18.06  18.96 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 2.81  3.55 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.17  1.40 
Enterprise Value Multiple 2.81  3.55 
Price Fair Value 1.17  1.40 
Enterprise Value113.7 M119.4 M
Leadership effectiveness at First National Corp is a strong indicator of its financial stability. We analyze various metrics to provide insights into the stock's investment viability.
Dividend Yield
0.0254
Operating Margin
0.2266
Profit Margin
0.1444
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0254
Beta
0.495

Technical Drivers

As of the 27th of December, First National shows the Downside Deviation of 1.58, mean deviation of 1.41, and Coefficient Of Variation of 411.23. First National Corp technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.

First National Corp Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
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First National Corp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific First National insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on First National's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases First National insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
 
Gerald Smith over a week ago
Disposition of 6186 shares by Gerald Smith of First National subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Bruce Thomas over three weeks ago
Insider Trading
 
Scott Harvard over a month ago
Acquisition by Scott Harvard of 19725 shares of First National subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Cottrell Elizabeth H over a month ago
Acquisition by Cottrell Elizabeth H of 1500 shares of First National subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Holt George Edwin Iii over two months ago
Acquisition by Holt George Edwin Iii of 597 shares of First National at 14.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Bell Michael Shane over two months ago
Disposition of 529 shares by Bell Michael Shane of First National at 18.94 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Wilkins Iii James R over three months ago
Acquisition by Wilkins Iii James R of tradable shares of First National at 15.175 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Aikens Jason C over three months ago
Acquisition by Aikens Jason C of 1500 shares of First National subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Wilkins Iii James R over three months ago
Acquisition by Wilkins Iii James R of 104 shares of First National at 15.55 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Wilkins Iii James R over six months ago
Acquisition by Wilkins Iii James R of tradable shares of First National at 15.05 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Wilkins Iii James R over six months ago
Acquisition by Wilkins Iii James R of 886 shares of First National at 14.95 subject to Rule 16b-3
 
Wilkins Iii James R over six months ago
Acquisition by Wilkins Iii James R of 800 shares of First National at 15.15 subject to Rule 16b-3

First National Outstanding Bonds

First National issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. First National Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most First bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when First National Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

First National Predictive Daily Indicators

First National intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of First National stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

First National Corporate Filings

F4
18th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
17th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
10th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
9th of December 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F3
3rd of December 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
F4
26th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
22nd of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
15th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

First National Forecast Models

First National's time-series forecasting models are one of many First National's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary First National's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About First Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how First National prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling First shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as First National. By using and applying First Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying First entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.24  0.23 
Operating Profit Margin 0.24  0.23 
Net Profit Margin 0.20  0.19 
Gross Profit Margin 0.89  0.79 

Current First Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. First analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. First analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
19.0Buy2Odds
First National Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most First analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand First stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of First National Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to First conference calls.
First Analyst Advice Details

First Stock Analysis Indicators

First National Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how First National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading First National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying First National stock analysis, traders can identify First National position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow66.9 M
Long Term Debt14.3 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity116.3 M
Tax Provision2.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.283
Property Plant And Equipment Net22.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments87.2 M
Cash87.2 M
Net Debt-22.6 M
50 Day M A23.029
Total Current Liabilities514.3 M
Other Operating Expenses29.8 M
Non Current Assets Total1.3 B
Forward Price Earnings10.6838
Non Currrent Assets Other1.2 B
Stock Based Compensation753 K

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When running First National's price analysis, check to measure First National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First National is operating at the current time. Most of First National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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