Triumph Group Stock Analysis

TGI Stock  USD 19.25  0.48  2.56%   
Triumph Group is overvalued with Real Value of 14.64 and Target Price of 12.0. The main objective of Triumph stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Triumph Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Triumph's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Triumph stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Triumph's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Triumph Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Triumph Stock Analysis Notes

About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.2. Triumph Group recorded a loss per share of 0.16. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2020. The firm had 2:1 split on the 15th of July 2011. Triumph Group, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, repairs, overhauls, and distributes aerostructures, aircraft components, accessories, subassemblies, and systems worldwide. Triumph Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Berwyn, Pennsylvania. Triumph operates under Aerospace Defense classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5340 people. To find out more about Triumph Group contact Heather Moore at 610 251 1000 or learn more at https://www.triumphgroup.com.

Triumph Quarterly Total Revenue

287.5 Million

Triumph Group Investment Alerts

Triumph Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Triumph Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments
The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.19 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (34.47 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 386.88 M.
Triumph Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres Why You Should Add AAR Stock to Your Portfolio Right Now

Triumph Group Upcoming and Recent Events

Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Triumph previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
7th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
15th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
15th of May 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of March 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Triumph Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Triumph's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-08-07
2024-06-30-0.05-0.06-0.0120 
2021-11-09
2021-09-300.090.10.0111 
2023-11-07
2023-09-30-0.010.010.02200 
View All Earnings Estimates

Triumph Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Triumph's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Triumph's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Triumph's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Triumph's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Triumph Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Triumph stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Military Industrial Idea
Military Industrial
Active national defense contractors that are involved either directly or indirectly in support of the US military operations
Aircraft Idea
Aircraft
USA Equities from Aircraft industry as classified by Fama & French

Triumph Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
1.4 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2024-09-30
1.1 M
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2024-09-30
M
Healthcare Of Ontario Pension Plan Trust Fund2024-09-30
998.9 K
Penn Capital Management Company Llc2024-09-30
939.4 K
Royce & Associates, Lp2024-09-30
926.9 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
758.7 K
Ameriprise Financial Inc2024-06-30
744.5 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
11.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
6.9 M
Note, although Triumph's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Triumph Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 1.49 B.

Triumph Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.44 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.12 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.12 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.46  0.48 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.30  0.32 
Return On Equity(4.91)(4.66)

Management Efficiency

Triumph Group has Return on Asset of 0.0498 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0498 of profit. This is way below average. Triumph's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Triumph manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of now, Triumph's Return On Tangible Assets are increasing as compared to previous years. The Triumph's current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.09, while Return On Equity is forecasted to increase to (4.66). As of now, Triumph's Total Current Assets are decreasing as compared to previous years. The Triumph's current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to increase to 0.48, while Other Current Assets are projected to decrease to under 15.8 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(1.41)(1.34)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(9.17)(9.63)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 14.27  14.99 
Price Book Value Ratio(10.40)(9.88)
Enterprise Value Multiple 14.27  14.99 
Price Fair Value(10.40)(9.88)
Enterprise Value212.6 M167.9 M
At Triumph Group, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Operating Margin
0.1201
Profit Margin
0.437
Beta
2.485
Return On Assets
0.0498

Technical Drivers

As of the 1st of December, Triumph has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1149, semi deviation of 2.39, and Coefficient Of Variation of 716.38. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Triumph Group, as well as the relationship between them.

Triumph Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was nine with a total number of output elements of fifty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Triumph middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Triumph Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Triumph Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Triumph insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Triumph's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Triumph insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Triumph Outstanding Bonds

Triumph issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Triumph Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Triumph bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Triumph Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Triumph Predictive Daily Indicators

Triumph intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Triumph stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Triumph Corporate Filings

8K
12th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
8th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
7th of November 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
13A
18th of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
16th of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
14th of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
12th of August 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify

Triumph Forecast Models

Triumph's time-series forecasting models are one of many Triumph's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Triumph's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Triumph Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Triumph prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Triumph shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Triumph. By using and applying Triumph Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Triumph entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.02)(0.02)
Operating Profit Margin 0.07  0.09 
Net Profit Margin 0.43  0.45 
Gross Profit Margin 0.27  0.28 

Current Triumph Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Triumph analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Triumph analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
12.0Buy9Odds
Triumph Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Triumph analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Triumph stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Triumph Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Triumph conference calls.
Triumph Analyst Advice Details

Triumph Stock Analysis Indicators

Triumph Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Triumph stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Triumph shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Triumph stock analysis, traders can identify Triumph position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow227.4 M
Long Term Debt1.1 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding74.1 M
Total Stockholder Equity-104.4 M
Tax Provision7.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.307
Property Plant And Equipment Net158.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments392.5 M
Cash392.5 M
Accounts Payable167.3 M
Net Debt702.2 M
50 Day M A15.2632
Total Current Liabilities356.3 M
Other Operating Expenses1.1 B
Non Current Assets Total746.9 M
Forward Price Earnings14.7275
Non Currrent Assets Other12.4 M
Stock Based Compensation9.4 M

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When running Triumph's price analysis, check to measure Triumph's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triumph is operating at the current time. Most of Triumph's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triumph's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triumph's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triumph to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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