Fossil Valuation
| FOSL Stock | USD 1.46 0.03 2.01% |
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be undervalued. Fossil Group shows a prevailing Real Value of $2.76 per share. The current price of the firm is $1.46. Our model computes the value of Fossil Group from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.10) %, current valuation of 309.73 M, and Shares Outstanding of 53.19 M as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Fossil's valuation include:
Price Book 0.4822 | Enterprise Value 309.7 M | Enterprise Value Ebitda (2.76) | Price Sales 0.0648 | Enterprise Value Revenue 0.2531 |
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Fossil's price fluctuation is very risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Fossil Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Fossil's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Fossil stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Fossil Group. Since Fossil is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Fossil Stock. However, Fossil's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 1.46 | Real 2.76 | Target 7.0 | Hype 1.41 | Naive 1.47 |
The intrinsic value of Fossil's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Fossil's stock price.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Fossil Group helps investors to forecast how Fossil stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Fossil more accurately as focusing exclusively on Fossil's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Fossil's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Fossil's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Fossil's closest peers.
Fossil Cash |
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Fossil Valuation Trend
Knowing Fossil's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Fossil's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.
Fossil Total Value Analysis
Fossil Group is currently projected to have valuation of 309.73 M with market capitalization of 63.83 M, debt of 388.67 M, and cash on hands of 162.61 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Fossil fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
309.73 M | 63.83 M | 388.67 M | 162.61 M |
Fossil Investor Information
About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.48. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fossil Group recorded a loss per share of 2.33. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 12th of April 2004. Based on the analysis of Fossil's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Fossil Group is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.Fossil Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Fossil has an asset utilization ratio of 144.41 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.44 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Fossil Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Fossil Ownership Allocation
Fossil holds a total of 53.19 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Fossil Group outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.Fossil Profitability Analysis
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.41 B. Net Loss for the year was (157.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 830.68 M.About Fossil Valuation
We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fossil Group. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Fossil Group based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Fossil's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Fossil's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Fossil. We calculate exposure to Fossil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Fossil's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 679.6 M | 868.2 M | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | (0.02) | (0.01) | |
| Operating Profit Margin | (0.01) | (0.01) | |
| Net Loss | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.44 | 0.41 |
Fossil Growth Indicators
Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Fossil does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.3 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.817 |
Fossil Current Valuation Indicators
Fossil's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Fossil's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Fossil, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Fossil's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Fossil's worth.When determining whether Fossil Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fossil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fossil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fossil Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fossil Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (2.33) | Revenue Per Share 23.195 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.