Hilton Grand Valuation

HGV Stock  USD 41.74  0.10  0.24%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Hilton Grand Vacations retains a regular Real Value of $48.04 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $41.74. Our model calculates the value of Hilton Grand Vacations from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 10.52 B, return on equity of 0.0493, and Return On Asset of 0.0476 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Hilton Grand's valuation include:
Price Book
2.2281
Enterprise Value
10.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
14.1207
Price Sales
0.97
Forward PE
11.4416
Undervalued
Today
41.74
Please note that Hilton Grand's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Hilton Grand Vacations is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Hilton Grand's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Hilton stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Hilton Grand Vacations. Since Hilton Grand is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Hilton Stock. However, Hilton Grand's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  41.74 Real  48.04 Target  55.4 Hype  41.76 Naive  40.53
The intrinsic value of Hilton Grand's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Hilton Grand's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
48.04
Real Value
50.26
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Hilton Grand Vacations helps investors to forecast how Hilton stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Hilton Grand more accurately as focusing exclusively on Hilton Grand's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.360.761.10
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.5441.7643.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
38.3140.5342.75
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
50.4155.4061.49
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Hilton Grand's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Hilton Grand's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Hilton Grand's closest peers.

Hilton Grand Cash

618.45 Million

Hilton Valuation Trend

Analysing the historical paterns of Hilton Grand's enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of Hilton Grand Vacations over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.

Hilton Revenue by Product

Hilton Grand Total Value Analysis

Hilton Grand Vacations is currently forecasted to have company total value of 10.52 B with market capitalization of 4.11 B, debt of 4.59 B, and cash on hands of 223 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Hilton Grand fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
10.52 B
4.11 B
4.59 B
223 M

Hilton Grand Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Hilton Grand was currently reported as 18.48. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Hilton Grand's historical financial statements, Hilton Grand Vacations may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.

Hilton Grand Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Hilton Grand has an asset utilization ratio of 45.8 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.46 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Hilton Grand Vacations is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Hilton Grand Ownership Allocation

The majority of Hilton Grand Vacations outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to purchase positions in Hilton Grand to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, third-party entities are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Hilton Grand Vacations. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Hilton Grand Vacations as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Hilton Grand Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.98 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 313 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.15 B.

About Hilton Grand Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Hilton Grand. We calculate exposure to Hilton Grand's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Hilton Grand's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.2 B714.8 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.11  0.13 
Operating Profit Margin 0.15  0.20 
Net Profit Margin 0.08  0.09 
Gross Profit Margin 0.31  0.34 

Hilton Grand Quarterly Retained Earnings

414 Million

Hilton Grand Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Hilton Grand does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.663
Forward Price Earnings11.4416

Hilton Grand Current Valuation Indicators

Hilton Grand's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Hilton Grand's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Hilton Grand, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Hilton Grand's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Hilton Grand's worth.

Additional Tools for Hilton Stock Analysis

When running Hilton Grand's price analysis, check to measure Hilton Grand's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hilton Grand is operating at the current time. Most of Hilton Grand's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hilton Grand's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hilton Grand's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hilton Grand to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.