Alfa Holdings Valuation

RPAD5 Preferred Stock  BRL 9.09  0.05  0.55%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Alfa Holdings SA shows a prevailing Real Value of R$7.25 per share. The current price of the firm is R$9.09. Our model approximates the value of Alfa Holdings SA from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.0596, and Current Valuation of 538.61 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
9.09
Please note that Alfa Holdings' price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alfa Holdings SA is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alfa Holdings' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Alfa preferred stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Alfa Holdings SA. Since Alfa Holdings is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alfa Preferred Stock. However, Alfa Holdings' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.09 Real  7.25 Hype  9.09 Naive  8.82
The intrinsic value of Alfa Holdings' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Alfa Holdings' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
7.25
Real Value
11.14
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alfa Holdings SA helps investors to forecast how Alfa preferred stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alfa Holdings more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alfa Holdings' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.377.939.49
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.209.0912.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.948.8212.71
Details

Alfa Holdings Total Value Analysis

Alfa Holdings SA is at this time projected to have takeover price of 538.61 M with market capitalization of 626.17 M, debt of 0, and cash on hands of 457 K. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Alfa Holdings fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company

Alfa Holdings Investor Information

About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.56. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Alfa Holdings SA last dividend was issued on the 26th of January 2023. Based on the key indicators related to Alfa Holdings' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Alfa Holdings SA is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in January.

Alfa Holdings Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The newest return on assets of Alfa implies not a very effective usage of assets in December.

Alfa Holdings Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Alfa Holdings SA is R$626.17 Million. Alfa Holdings SA retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Please take into account that even companies with profitable outlook can generate negative future returns on their equity. If the true value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able generate positive returns on investment in the long run.

Alfa Holdings Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 1.36 M. Net Income was 19.36 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 120 K.

About Alfa Holdings Valuation

The preferred stock valuation mechanism determines Alfa Holdings' current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Alfa Holdings SA based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alfa Holdings. We calculate exposure to Alfa Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alfa Holdings's related companies.
Alfa Holdings S.A. provides private banking services in Brazil. Alfa Holdings S.A. was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil. ALFA HOLDINGPNA operates under Conglomerates classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange.

8 Steps to conduct Alfa Holdings' Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Alfa Holdings' potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Alfa Holdings' valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Alfa Holdings' financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Alfa Holdings' revenue streams: Identify Alfa Holdings' primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Alfa Holdings' industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Alfa Holdings' growth potential: Evaluate Alfa Holdings' management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Alfa Holdings' financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Alfa Holdings' estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Additional Tools for Alfa Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Alfa Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Alfa Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alfa Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Alfa Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alfa Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alfa Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alfa Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.