AMPL Volatility
| AMPL Crypto | USD 1.31 0.06 4.80% |
AMPL appears to be unusually risky, given 3 months investment horizon. AMPL secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that digital coin had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing AMPL's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.64% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of AMPL's mean deviation of 4.39, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0853 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to AMPL's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Risk of Devaluation | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
AMPL Crypto Coin volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of AMPL daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use AMPL's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of AMPL volatility.
AMPL |
Since volatility provides cryptocurrency investors with entry points to take advantage of coin prices, investors in projects such as AMPL can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for traders who play the long game. Here, they may buy additional AMPL shares at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase AMPL coin that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of AMPL's crypto rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other coins with better opportunities. Investing in volatile markets will allow investors in evolving Defi or crypto projects such as AMPL to generate better long-term returns.
AMPL Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
AMPL's beta coefficient measures the volatility of AMPL crypto coin compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents AMPL crypto coin's returns against your selected market. In other words, AMPL's beta of 0.0286 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk AMPL crypto coin can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. AMPL exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. We encourage cryptocurrency investors to investigate AMPL individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicators are consistent with their estimates about AMPL projected systematic risk. Please note that many cryptocurrencies are speculative and subject to artificial price hype. Ensure you understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in AMPL. We encourage all cryptocurrency investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before the public announcements. Please also check the biographies and work history of current and past project contributors before investing in high-volatility crypto coins. You can indeed make money on AMPL if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that cryptos that have been the subject of artificial hype usually cannot maintain its increased price for more than a few days. The price of a promoted high-volatility instrument will almost always revert. The only way to increase coin holder value is through legitimate performance analysis backed up by solid fundamentals of the project the coin represents. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AMPL's crypto coin risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AMPL's price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different cryptos as prices fall or investing in DeFi projects.
3 Months Beta |Analyze AMPL Demand TrendCheck current 90 days AMPL correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)AMPL Beta |
AMPL standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 5.71 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by AMPL's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of AMPL's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in ampl crypto coin tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in AMPL.
AMPL Crypto Coin Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which AMPL crypto price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with AMPL's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of AMPL's crypto coin to predict their future moves. A crypto that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A crypto coin with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile crypto is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of AMPL's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of crypto volatility measures AMPL's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict AMPL's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the crypto coin.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for AMPL's current market price. This means that the crypto will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on AMPL's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. AMPL Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
AMPL Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AMPL has a beta of 0.0286 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, AMPL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AMPL will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded cryptocurrencies are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or coin-specific or project-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AMPL project will adversely affect the coin's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different digital assets on different exchanges whose coin prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AMPL's price will be affected by overall cryptocurrency market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AMPL crypto's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
AMPL has an alpha of 0.5577, implying that it can generate a 0.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
AMPL Crypto Coin Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of AMPL is 890.21. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 32.63 and standard deviation of 5.71. The mean deviation of AMPL is currently at 4.39. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
AMPL Crypto Coin Return Volatility
AMPL historical daily return volatility represents how much of AMPL crypto's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. Keep in mind that cryptocurrencies such as AMPL have only been around for a short time and are still in the price discovery phase. This means that prices will continue to change as investors and governments work through the initial concerns until prices stabilize, provided a stable point can be reached. AMPL accepts 5.7125% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7502% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About AMPL Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of AMPL or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of AMPL may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to AMPL's beta indicator, it measures the risk of AMPL and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of AMPL fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.3 ways to utilize AMPL's volatility to invest better
Higher AMPL's crypto volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of AMPL crypto is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. AMPL crypto volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of AMPL investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in AMPL's crypto can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of AMPL's crypto relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
AMPL Investment Opportunity
AMPL has a volatility of 5.71 and is 7.61 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 50 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than AMPL. You can use AMPL to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The crypto coin experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of AMPL to be traded at $1.6375 in 90 days.AMPL Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of AMPL's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AMPL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of AMPL crypto coin's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0853 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 19.64 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.25 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 5.66 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 997.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.7 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential crypto coins, we recommend comparing similar cryptos with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
AMPL Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
| GM vs. AMPL | ||
| Visa vs. AMPL | ||
| Dupont De vs. AMPL | ||
| Citigroup vs. AMPL | ||
| Ford vs. AMPL | ||
| Alphabet vs. AMPL | ||
| Microsoft vs. AMPL | ||
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against AMPL as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. AMPL's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, AMPL's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to AMPL.
When determining whether AMPL offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AMPL's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ampl Crypto. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AMPL. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.