Birla Carbon (Thailand) Volatility
| BCT Stock | THB 67.00 0.75 1.13% |
Birla Carbon Public secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0935, which signifies that the company had a -0.0935% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Birla Carbon Public exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Birla Carbon's Standard Deviation of 1.61, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Mean Deviation of 0.9622 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Birla Carbon's volatility include:
210 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 210 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Birla Carbon Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Birla daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Birla's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Birla Carbon volatility.
Birla |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Birla Carbon at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Birla stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with Birla Stock
| 0.73 | SCC | Siam Cement | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | TOA-R | TOA PAINT | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | TOA | TOA Paint Public | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | NER | North East Rubbers | PairCorr |
Moving against Birla Stock
| 0.79 | DELTA | Delta Electronics Public | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | STGT-R | SRI TRANG GLOVES | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | SPA | Siam Wellness Group | PairCorr |
Birla Carbon Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Birla Carbon's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Birla stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Birla stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Birla Carbon's beta of 0.2 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Birla Carbon stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Birla Carbon Public exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.69 and kurtosis of 2.67. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Birla Carbon's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Birla Carbon's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Birla Carbon Public Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Birla Carbon correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Birla Beta |
Birla standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 1.67 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Birla Carbon's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Birla Carbon's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in birla stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Birla Carbon.
Birla Carbon Public Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Birla Carbon stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Birla Carbon's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Birla Carbon's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Birla Carbon's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Birla Carbon's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Birla Carbon's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Birla Carbon's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Birla Carbon's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Birla Carbon Public Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Birla Carbon Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Birla Carbon has a beta of 0.201 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Birla Carbon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Birla Carbon Public will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Birla Carbon or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Birla Carbon's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Birla stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Birla Carbon Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Birla Carbon Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Birla Carbon Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Birla Carbon is -1069.95. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.79 and standard deviation of 1.67. The mean deviation of Birla Carbon Public is currently at 1.01. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.72
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Birla Carbon Stock Return Volatility
Birla Carbon historical daily return volatility represents how much of Birla Carbon stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company assumes 1.6716% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7313% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Birla Carbon Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Birla Carbon or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Birla Carbon may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Birla's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Birla Carbon and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Birla Carbon fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Birla Carbon Public Company Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of carbon black for rubber and specialty applications. The company was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand. BIRLA CARBON operates under Specialty Chemicals classification in Thailand and is traded on Stock Exchange of Thailand.
Birla Carbon's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Birla Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Birla Carbon's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Birla Carbon's volatility to invest better
Higher Birla Carbon's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Birla Carbon Public stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Birla Carbon Public stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Birla Carbon Public investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Birla Carbon's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Birla Carbon's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Birla Carbon Investment Opportunity
Birla Carbon Public has a volatility of 1.67 and is 2.29 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 14 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Birla Carbon. You can use Birla Carbon Public to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Birla Carbon to be traded at 73.7 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Birla Carbon Public and DJI is 0.09 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Birla Carbon Public and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Birla Carbon Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Birla Carbon's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Birla Carbon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Birla Carbon stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.73) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9622 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,160) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.61 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.16) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Birla Carbon Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
| Walgreens Boots vs. Birla Carbon | ||
| Visa vs. Birla Carbon | ||
| GM vs. Birla Carbon | ||
| Morgan Stanley vs. Birla Carbon | ||
| Citigroup vs. Birla Carbon | ||
| Alphabet vs. Birla Carbon | ||
| Nasdaq vs. Birla Carbon | ||
| Ford vs. Birla Carbon |
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Birla Carbon as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Birla Carbon's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Birla Carbon's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Birla Carbon Public.
Other Information on Investing in Birla Stock
Birla Carbon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Birla Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Birla with respect to the benefits of owning Birla Carbon security.