Connectone Bancorp Preferred Stock Volatility

CNOBP Preferred Stock  USD 22.20  0.19  0.86%   
Currently, ConnectOne Bancorp is very steady. ConnectOne Bancorp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.15, which signifies that the company had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for ConnectOne Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm ConnectOne Bancorp's Mean Deviation of 0.6965, downside deviation of 1.1, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.126 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. Key indicators related to ConnectOne Bancorp's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
ConnectOne Bancorp Preferred Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of ConnectOne daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use ConnectOne's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of ConnectOne Bancorp volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, ConnectOne Bancorp's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to ConnectOne Bancorp's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as ConnectOne Bancorp can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of ConnectOne Bancorp at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase ConnectOne stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of ConnectOne Bancorp's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with ConnectOne Preferred Stock

  0.67AX Axos FinancialPairCorr
  0.64BY Byline Bancorp Fiscal Year End 23rd of January 2025 PairCorr
  0.73PB Prosperity Bancshares Fiscal Year End 22nd of January 2025 PairCorr
  0.81RF Regions Financial Fiscal Year End 17th of January 2025 PairCorr
  0.62VABK Virginia NationalPairCorr

Moving against ConnectOne Preferred Stock

  0.42TFC-PO Truist FinancialPairCorr
  0.34TFC-PR Truist FinancialPairCorr
  0.33CFG-PE Citizens FinancialPairCorr

ConnectOne Bancorp Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

ConnectOne Bancorp's beta coefficient measures the volatility of ConnectOne preferred stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents ConnectOne preferred stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, ConnectOne Bancorp's beta of 0.0391 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk ConnectOne Bancorp preferred stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. ConnectOne Bancorp has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.03 and kurtosis of 1.79. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ConnectOne Bancorp's preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ConnectOne Bancorp's preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze ConnectOne Bancorp Demand Trend
Check current 90 days ConnectOne Bancorp correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

ConnectOne Beta

    
  0.0391  
ConnectOne standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.03  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by ConnectOne Bancorp's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of ConnectOne Bancorp's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in connectone preferred stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in ConnectOne Bancorp.

ConnectOne Bancorp Preferred Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which ConnectOne Bancorp preferred stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with ConnectOne Bancorp's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of ConnectOne Bancorp's preferred stock to predict their future moves. A preferred stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A preferred stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile preferred stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of ConnectOne Bancorp's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of preferred stock volatility measures ConnectOne Bancorp's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict ConnectOne Bancorp's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the preferred stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for ConnectOne Bancorp's current market price. This means that the preferred stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on ConnectOne Bancorp's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. ConnectOne Bancorp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

ConnectOne Bancorp Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon ConnectOne Bancorp has a beta of 0.0391 suggesting as returns on the market go up, ConnectOne Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ConnectOne Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ConnectOne Bancorp or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ConnectOne Bancorp's price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ConnectOne preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
ConnectOne Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1483, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
ConnectOne Bancorp's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how connectone preferred stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a ConnectOne Bancorp Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a preferred stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

ConnectOne Bancorp Preferred Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of ConnectOne Bancorp is 652.18. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.07 and standard deviation of 1.03. The mean deviation of ConnectOne Bancorp is currently at 0.72. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

ConnectOne Bancorp Preferred Stock Return Volatility

ConnectOne Bancorp historical daily return volatility represents how much of ConnectOne Bancorp preferred stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise shows 1.0328% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7502% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About ConnectOne Bancorp Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of ConnectOne Bancorp or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of ConnectOne Bancorp may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to ConnectOne's beta indicator, it measures the risk of ConnectOne Bancorp and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of ConnectOne Bancorp fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for ConnectOne Bank that provides commercial banking products and services for small and mid-sized businesses, local professionals, and individuals in the Northern New Jersey and New York Metropolitan area, and South Florida market. ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey. Connectone Bancorp operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 434 people.
ConnectOne Bancorp's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on ConnectOne Preferred Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much ConnectOne Bancorp's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize ConnectOne Bancorp's volatility to invest better

Higher ConnectOne Bancorp's preferred stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of ConnectOne Bancorp preferred stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. ConnectOne Bancorp preferred stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of ConnectOne Bancorp investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in ConnectOne Bancorp's preferred stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of ConnectOne Bancorp's preferred stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

ConnectOne Bancorp Investment Opportunity

ConnectOne Bancorp has a volatility of 1.03 and is 1.37 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 9 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than ConnectOne Bancorp. You can use ConnectOne Bancorp to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The preferred stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of ConnectOne Bancorp to be traded at $24.42 in 90 days.

Significant diversification

The correlation between ConnectOne Bancorp and DJI is 0.03 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ConnectOne Bancorp and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

ConnectOne Bancorp Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of ConnectOne Bancorp's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ConnectOne Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of ConnectOne Bancorp preferred stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential preferred stocks, we recommend comparing similar preferred stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

ConnectOne Bancorp Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against ConnectOne Bancorp as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. ConnectOne Bancorp's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, ConnectOne Bancorp's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to ConnectOne Bancorp.

Additional Tools for ConnectOne Preferred Stock Analysis

When running ConnectOne Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure ConnectOne Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ConnectOne Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of ConnectOne Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ConnectOne Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ConnectOne Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ConnectOne Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.