Mercantil (Brazil) Volatility
| MERC4 Preferred Stock | BRL 9.10 0.10 1.11% |
Currently, Mercantil do Brasil is somewhat reliable. Mercantil do Brasil has Sharpe Ratio of 7.0E-4, which conveys that the firm had a 7.0E-4% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Mercantil, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Mercantil's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0082, standard deviation of 3.22, and Mean Deviation of 0.808 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0024%. Key indicators related to Mercantil's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Mercantil Preferred Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Mercantil daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Mercantil's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Mercantil volatility.
Mercantil |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Mercantil can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Mercantil at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Mercantil stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Mercantil's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving against Mercantil Preferred Stock
Mercantil Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Mercantil's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Mercantil preferred stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Mercantil preferred stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Mercantil's beta of -0.11 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Mercantil preferred stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Mercantil do Brasil exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.2 and kurtosis of 20.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mercantil's preferred stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mercantil's preferred stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Mercantil do Brasil Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Mercantil correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Mercantil Beta |
Mercantil standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 3.27 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Mercantil's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Mercantil's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in mercantil preferred stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Mercantil.
Mercantil do Brasil Preferred Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Mercantil preferred stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Mercantil's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Mercantil's preferred stock to predict their future moves. A preferred stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A preferred stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile preferred stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Mercantil's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of preferred stock volatility measures Mercantil's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Mercantil's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the preferred stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Mercantil's current market price. This means that the preferred stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Mercantil's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Mercantil do Brasil Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Mercantil Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mercantil do Brasil has a beta of -0.1092 . This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mercantil are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mercantil do Brasil is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mercantil or Consumer Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mercantil's price will be affected by overall preferred stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mercantil preferred stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Mercantil do Brasil has an alpha of 0.0063, implying that it can generate a 0.0063 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Mercantil Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a preferred stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Mercantil Preferred Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Mercantil is 134846.57. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 10.72 and standard deviation of 3.27. The mean deviation of Mercantil do Brasil is currently at 0.83. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Mercantil Preferred Stock Return Volatility
Mercantil historical daily return volatility represents how much of Mercantil preferred stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 3.2742% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7502% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Mercantil Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Mercantil or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Mercantil may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Mercantil's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Mercantil and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Mercantil fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Mercantil do Brasil Financeira S.A. provides retail banking products and services to individuals and legal entities in Brazil. The company was founded in 1943 and is headquartered in Belo Horizonte, Brazil. Mercantil operates under Savings Cooperative Banks classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange.
Mercantil's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Mercantil Preferred Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Mercantil's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Mercantil's volatility to invest better
Higher Mercantil's preferred stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Mercantil do Brasil preferred stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Mercantil do Brasil preferred stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Mercantil do Brasil investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Mercantil's preferred stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Mercantil's preferred stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Mercantil Investment Opportunity
Mercantil do Brasil has a volatility of 3.27 and is 4.36 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Mercantil do Brasil is lower than 29 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Mercantil do Brasil to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The preferred stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Mercantil to be traded at R$10.01 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Mercantil do Brasil and DJI is -0.03 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Mercantil do Brasil and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Mercantil Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mercantil's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mercantil's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Mercantil preferred stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0082 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.08 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.808 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 136826.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.22 | |||
| Variance | 10.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential preferred stocks, we recommend comparing similar preferred stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Mercantil Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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| Microsoft vs. Mercantil | ||
| Salesforce vs. Mercantil | ||
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| Alphabet vs. Mercantil | ||
| Ford vs. Mercantil |
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Mercantil as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Mercantil's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Mercantil's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Mercantil do Brasil.
Additional Tools for Mercantil Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Mercantil's price analysis, check to measure Mercantil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mercantil is operating at the current time. Most of Mercantil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mercantil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mercantil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mercantil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.