Shenzhen Glory Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for Shenzhen Glory - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Shenzhen Glory prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Shenzhen Glory price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Shenzhen Glory Medical.

Shenzhen Glory Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Shenzhen Glory Medical on the next trading day is expected to be 3.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.21.

Shenzhen Glory Stock Forecast Pattern

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Shenzhen Glory Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shenzhen Glory stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shenzhen Glory stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Shenzhen Glory observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Shenzhen Glory Medical observations.

Predictive Modules for Shenzhen Glory

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shenzhen Glory Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.16 3.11 6.72 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.15 2.96 6.57 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.07 0.07 0.07 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shenzhen Glory. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shenzhen Glory's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shenzhen Glory's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shenzhen Glory Medical.

Other Forecasting Options for Shenzhen Glory

For every potential investor in Shenzhen, whether a beginner or expert, Shenzhen Glory's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shenzhen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shenzhen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shenzhen Glory's price trends.

Shenzhen Glory Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Shenzhen Glory Medical Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shenzhen Glory's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shenzhen Glory's current price.

Shenzhen Glory Market Strength Events

Shenzhen Glory Risk Indicators

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

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