Sinomine Resource Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

002738 Stock   36.56  0.67  1.87%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sinomine Resource Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 37.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.33. Sinomine Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sinomine Resource stock prices and determine the direction of Sinomine Resource Exploration's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sinomine Resource's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Sinomine Resource's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short and Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 1.8 B, whereas Current Deferred Revenue is forecasted to decline to about 30 M.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Sinomine Resource Exploration is based on a synthetically constructed Sinomine Resourcedaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Sinomine Resource 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Sinomine Resource Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 37.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.64, mean absolute percentage error of 4.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sinomine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sinomine Resource's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sinomine Resource Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sinomine ResourceSinomine Resource Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Sinomine Resource Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sinomine Resource's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sinomine Resource's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.09 and 41.52, respectively. We have considered Sinomine Resource's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.56
37.81
Expected Value
41.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sinomine Resource stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sinomine Resource stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.9409
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.0444
MADMean absolute deviation1.6421
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0431
SAESum of the absolute errors67.3275
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Sinomine Resource 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Sinomine Resource

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sinomine Resource. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.2636.9740.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2429.9540.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.691.861.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sinomine Resource. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sinomine Resource's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sinomine Resource's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sinomine Resource.

Other Forecasting Options for Sinomine Resource

For every potential investor in Sinomine, whether a beginner or expert, Sinomine Resource's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sinomine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sinomine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sinomine Resource's price trends.

Sinomine Resource Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sinomine Resource stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sinomine Resource could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sinomine Resource by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sinomine Resource Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sinomine Resource's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sinomine Resource's current price.

Sinomine Resource Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sinomine Resource stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sinomine Resource shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sinomine Resource stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sinomine Resource Exploration entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sinomine Resource Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sinomine Resource's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sinomine Resource's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sinomine stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Sinomine Stock

Sinomine Resource financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sinomine Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sinomine with respect to the benefits of owning Sinomine Resource security.