Yuanta STOXX Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average

00762 Etf  TWD 69.80  0.35  0.50%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Yuanta STOXX Global on the next trading day is expected to be 69.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.50. Yuanta Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Yuanta STOXX is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Yuanta STOXX Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Yuanta STOXX Global on the next trading day is expected to be 69.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73, mean absolute percentage error of 0.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yuanta Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yuanta STOXX's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yuanta STOXX Etf Forecast Pattern

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Yuanta STOXX Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yuanta STOXX's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yuanta STOXX's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 68.50 and 71.10, respectively. We have considered Yuanta STOXX's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
69.80
69.80
Expected Value
71.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yuanta STOXX etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yuanta STOXX etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2194
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3142
MADMean absolute deviation0.725
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0113
SAESum of the absolute errors43.5
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Yuanta STOXX Global price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Yuanta STOXX. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Yuanta STOXX

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yuanta STOXX Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.5069.8071.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.8274.1375.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yuanta STOXX. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yuanta STOXX's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yuanta STOXX's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yuanta STOXX Global.

Other Forecasting Options for Yuanta STOXX

For every potential investor in Yuanta, whether a beginner or expert, Yuanta STOXX's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yuanta Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yuanta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yuanta STOXX's price trends.

Yuanta STOXX Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yuanta STOXX etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yuanta STOXX could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yuanta STOXX by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yuanta STOXX Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yuanta STOXX's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yuanta STOXX's current price.

Yuanta STOXX Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yuanta STOXX etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yuanta STOXX shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yuanta STOXX etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Yuanta STOXX Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yuanta STOXX Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yuanta STOXX's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yuanta STOXX's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yuanta etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Yuanta Etf

Yuanta STOXX financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yuanta Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yuanta with respect to the benefits of owning Yuanta STOXX security.