LF Co Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

066970 Stock  KRW 85,500  3,000  3.39%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LF Co on the next trading day is expected to be 86,200 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,827 and the sum of the absolute errors of 229,600. 066970 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LF Co stock prices and determine the direction of LF Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LF Co's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for LF Co works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

LF Co Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LF Co on the next trading day is expected to be 86,200 with a mean absolute deviation of 3,827, mean absolute percentage error of 22,035,333, and the sum of the absolute errors of 229,600.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 066970 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LF Co's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LF Co Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest LF CoLF Co Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

LF Co Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LF Co's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LF Co's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 86,196 and 86,204, respectively. We have considered LF Co's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
85,500
86,196
Downside
86,200
Expected Value
86,204
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LF Co stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LF Co stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1166.6667
MADMean absolute deviation3826.6667
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0365
SAESum of the absolute errors229600.0
When LF Co prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any LF Co trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent LF Co observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for LF Co

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LF Co. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85,49685,50085,504
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78,93578,93994,050
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LF Co. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LF Co's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LF Co's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LF Co.

Other Forecasting Options for LF Co

For every potential investor in 066970, whether a beginner or expert, LF Co's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 066970 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 066970. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LF Co's price trends.

LF Co Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LF Co stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LF Co could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LF Co by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LF Co Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LF Co's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LF Co's current price.

LF Co Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LF Co stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LF Co shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LF Co stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LF Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LF Co Risk Indicators

The analysis of LF Co's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LF Co's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 066970 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with LF Co

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if LF Co position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in LF Co will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against 066970 Stock

  0.46039240 Gyeongnam SteelPairCorr
  0.43065660 AnterogenCoLtdPairCorr
  0.43078160 MEDIPOSTPairCorr
  0.42032640 LG UplusPairCorr
  0.38241840 ASTORY CoLtdPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to LF Co could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace LF Co when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back LF Co - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling LF Co to buy it.
The correlation of LF Co is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as LF Co moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if LF Co moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for LF Co can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in 066970 Stock

LF Co financial ratios help investors to determine whether 066970 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 066970 with respect to the benefits of owning LF Co security.