Renaissance Europe Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

0P00000PM8  EUR 269.20  0.63  0.23%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Renaissance Europe C on the next trading day is expected to be 269.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 120.66. Renaissance Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Renaissance Europe stock prices and determine the direction of Renaissance Europe C's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Renaissance Europe's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Renaissance Europe works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Renaissance Europe Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Renaissance Europe C on the next trading day is expected to be 269.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05, mean absolute percentage error of 6.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 120.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Renaissance Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Renaissance Europe's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Renaissance Europe Fund Forecast Pattern

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Renaissance Europe Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Renaissance Europe's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Renaissance Europe's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 268.44 and 270.28, respectively. We have considered Renaissance Europe's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
269.20
268.44
Downside
269.36
Expected Value
270.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Renaissance Europe fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Renaissance Europe fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4338
MADMean absolute deviation2.0451
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0076
SAESum of the absolute errors120.6613
When Renaissance Europe C prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Renaissance Europe C trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Renaissance Europe observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Renaissance Europe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Renaissance Europe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
268.28269.20270.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
268.34269.26270.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
257.74264.69271.64
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Renaissance Europe

For every potential investor in Renaissance, whether a beginner or expert, Renaissance Europe's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Renaissance Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Renaissance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Renaissance Europe's price trends.

Renaissance Europe Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Renaissance Europe fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Renaissance Europe could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Renaissance Europe by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Renaissance Europe Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Renaissance Europe's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Renaissance Europe's current price.

Renaissance Europe Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Renaissance Europe fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Renaissance Europe shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Renaissance Europe fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Renaissance Europe C entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Renaissance Europe Risk Indicators

The analysis of Renaissance Europe's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Renaissance Europe's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting renaissance fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Renaissance Fund

Renaissance Europe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Renaissance Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Renaissance with respect to the benefits of owning Renaissance Europe security.
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