PHN Canadian Fund Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

0P0000N468  CAD 22.71  0.07  0.31%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PHN Canadian Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 22.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.23. PHN Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for PHN Canadian is based on an artificially constructed time series of PHN Canadian daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

PHN Canadian 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PHN Canadian Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 22.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PHN Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PHN Canadian's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PHN Canadian Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest PHN CanadianPHN Canadian Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

PHN Canadian Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PHN Canadian's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PHN Canadian's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.10 and 23.07, respectively. We have considered PHN Canadian's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.71
22.58
Expected Value
23.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PHN Canadian fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PHN Canadian fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria100.5579
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1622
MADMean absolute deviation0.212
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0097
SAESum of the absolute errors11.235
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. PHN Canadian Equity 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for PHN Canadian

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PHN Canadian Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.2222.7123.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.4424.7525.24
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PHN Canadian

For every potential investor in PHN, whether a beginner or expert, PHN Canadian's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PHN Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PHN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PHN Canadian's price trends.

PHN Canadian Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PHN Canadian fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PHN Canadian could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PHN Canadian by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PHN Canadian Equity Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PHN Canadian's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PHN Canadian's current price.

PHN Canadian Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PHN Canadian fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PHN Canadian shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PHN Canadian fund market strength indicators, traders can identify PHN Canadian Equity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PHN Canadian Risk Indicators

The analysis of PHN Canadian's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PHN Canadian's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting phn fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with PHN Canadian

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if PHN Canadian position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PHN Canadian will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with PHN Fund

  0.960P00007173 Mawer Canadien actionsPairCorr
  1.00P00007061 RBC Canadian EquityPairCorr
  0.950P0000706A RBC Select BalancedPairCorr
  0.950P00007069 RBC PortefeuillePairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to PHN Canadian could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace PHN Canadian when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back PHN Canadian - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling PHN Canadian Equity to buy it.
The correlation of PHN Canadian is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as PHN Canadian moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if PHN Canadian Equity moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for PHN Canadian can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in PHN Fund

PHN Canadian financial ratios help investors to determine whether PHN Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PHN with respect to the benefits of owning PHN Canadian security.
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