Abax Balanced Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

0P000177BA   2.91  0.01  0.34%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Abax Balanced Prescient on the next trading day is expected to be 2.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.71. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Abax Balanced's fund prices and determine the direction of Abax Balanced Prescient's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading.
  
A naive forecasting model for Abax Balanced is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Abax Balanced Prescient value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Abax Balanced Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Abax Balanced Prescient on the next trading day is expected to be 2.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.71.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Abax Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Abax Balanced's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Abax Balanced Fund Forecast Pattern

Abax Balanced Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Abax Balanced's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Abax Balanced's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.40 and 3.43, respectively. We have considered Abax Balanced's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.91
2.92
Expected Value
3.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Abax Balanced fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Abax Balanced fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.5029
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0114
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.004
SAESum of the absolute errors0.7076
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Abax Balanced Prescient. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Abax Balanced. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Abax Balanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Abax Balanced Prescient. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Abax Balanced

For every potential investor in Abax, whether a beginner or expert, Abax Balanced's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Abax Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Abax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Abax Balanced's price trends.

Abax Balanced Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Abax Balanced fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Abax Balanced could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abax Balanced by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Abax Balanced Prescient Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Abax Balanced's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Abax Balanced's current price.

Abax Balanced Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Abax Balanced fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Abax Balanced shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Abax Balanced fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Abax Balanced Prescient entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Abax Balanced Risk Indicators

The analysis of Abax Balanced's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Abax Balanced's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abax fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
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