Taewoong Logistics Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

124560 Stock  KRW 2,885  25.00  0.87%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Taewoong Logistics CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 2,823 with a mean absolute deviation of 70.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,877. Taewoong Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Taewoong Logistics stock prices and determine the direction of Taewoong Logistics CoLtd's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Taewoong Logistics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Taewoong Logistics CoLtd is based on a synthetically constructed Taewoong Logisticsdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Taewoong Logistics 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Taewoong Logistics CoLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 2,823 with a mean absolute deviation of 70.18, mean absolute percentage error of 8,203, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,877.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Taewoong Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Taewoong Logistics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Taewoong Logistics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Taewoong LogisticsTaewoong Logistics Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Taewoong Logistics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Taewoong Logistics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Taewoong Logistics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,820 and 2,825, respectively. We have considered Taewoong Logistics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,885
2,823
Expected Value
2,825
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Taewoong Logistics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Taewoong Logistics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria90.3652
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.3677
MADMean absolute deviation70.1824
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0248
SAESum of the absolute errors2877.478
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Taewoong Logistics CoLtd 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Taewoong Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Taewoong Logistics CoLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,8822,8852,888
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,4092,4123,174
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Taewoong Logistics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Taewoong Logistics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Taewoong Logistics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Taewoong Logistics CoLtd.

Other Forecasting Options for Taewoong Logistics

For every potential investor in Taewoong, whether a beginner or expert, Taewoong Logistics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Taewoong Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Taewoong. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Taewoong Logistics' price trends.

Taewoong Logistics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Taewoong Logistics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Taewoong Logistics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Taewoong Logistics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Taewoong Logistics CoLtd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Taewoong Logistics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Taewoong Logistics' current price.

Taewoong Logistics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Taewoong Logistics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Taewoong Logistics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Taewoong Logistics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Taewoong Logistics CoLtd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Taewoong Logistics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Taewoong Logistics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Taewoong Logistics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting taewoong stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Taewoong Logistics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Taewoong Logistics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Taewoong Logistics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Taewoong Stock

  0.45030200 KT CorporationPairCorr
  0.34078160 MEDIPOSTPairCorr
  0.33005430 Korea Air SvcPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Taewoong Logistics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Taewoong Logistics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Taewoong Logistics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Taewoong Logistics CoLtd to buy it.
The correlation of Taewoong Logistics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Taewoong Logistics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Taewoong Logistics CoLtd moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Taewoong Logistics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Taewoong Stock

Taewoong Logistics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Taewoong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Taewoong with respect to the benefits of owning Taewoong Logistics security.