Keysight Technologies Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

1KT Stock  EUR 155.72  0.00  0.00%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Keysight Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 157.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.53. Keysight Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Keysight Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Keysight Technologies is based on an artificially constructed time series of Keysight Technologies daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Keysight Technologies 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Keysight Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 157.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.37, mean absolute percentage error of 30.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 231.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Keysight Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Keysight Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Keysight Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

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Keysight Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Keysight Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Keysight Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 155.29 and 159.29, respectively. We have considered Keysight Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
155.72
155.29
Downside
157.29
Expected Value
159.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Keysight Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Keysight Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.8405
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.1366
MADMean absolute deviation4.3684
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0285
SAESum of the absolute errors231.525
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Keysight Technologies 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Keysight Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keysight Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
153.72155.72157.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
140.15180.94182.94
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Keysight Technologies

For every potential investor in Keysight, whether a beginner or expert, Keysight Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Keysight Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Keysight. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Keysight Technologies' price trends.

Keysight Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Keysight Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Keysight Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Keysight Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Keysight Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Keysight Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Keysight Technologies' current price.

Keysight Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Keysight Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Keysight Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Keysight Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Keysight Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Keysight Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Keysight Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Keysight Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting keysight stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Keysight Stock

When determining whether Keysight Technologies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Keysight Technologies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Keysight Technologies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Keysight Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Keysight Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Keysight Stock please use our How to Invest in Keysight Technologies guide.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Keysight Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Keysight Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Keysight Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.