IA FINANCIAL Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

1OD Stock  EUR 86.00  0.50  0.58%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of IA FINANCIAL P on the next trading day is expected to be 85.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.88. 1OD Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IA FINANCIAL's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
IA FINANCIAL polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for IA FINANCIAL P as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

IA FINANCIAL Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of IA FINANCIAL P on the next trading day is expected to be 85.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.69, mean absolute percentage error of 5.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.88.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 1OD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IA FINANCIAL's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IA FINANCIAL Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest IA FINANCIALIA FINANCIAL Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

IA FINANCIAL Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IA FINANCIAL's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IA FINANCIAL's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 82.78 and 87.23, respectively. We have considered IA FINANCIAL's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
86.00
85.00
Expected Value
87.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IA FINANCIAL stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IA FINANCIAL stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.8042
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.6866
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0213
SAESum of the absolute errors102.8802
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the IA FINANCIAL historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for IA FINANCIAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IA FINANCIAL P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.7786.0088.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.4099.05101.28
Details

Other Forecasting Options for IA FINANCIAL

For every potential investor in 1OD, whether a beginner or expert, IA FINANCIAL's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 1OD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 1OD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IA FINANCIAL's price trends.

IA FINANCIAL Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IA FINANCIAL stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IA FINANCIAL could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IA FINANCIAL by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

IA FINANCIAL P Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IA FINANCIAL's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IA FINANCIAL's current price.

IA FINANCIAL Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IA FINANCIAL stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IA FINANCIAL shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IA FINANCIAL stock market strength indicators, traders can identify IA FINANCIAL P entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IA FINANCIAL Risk Indicators

The analysis of IA FINANCIAL's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IA FINANCIAL's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 1od stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in 1OD Stock

IA FINANCIAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether 1OD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 1OD with respect to the benefits of owning IA FINANCIAL security.