PNC Technologies Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

237750 Stock  KRW 3,915  270.00  7.41%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PNC Technologies co on the next trading day is expected to be 3,640 with a mean absolute deviation of 98.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,591. PNC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PNC Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of PNC Technologies co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PNC Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for PNC Technologies co is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

PNC Technologies 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of PNC Technologies co on the next trading day is expected to be 3,640 with a mean absolute deviation of 98.09, mean absolute percentage error of 19,476, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,591.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PNC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PNC Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PNC Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest PNC TechnologiesPNC Technologies Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

PNC Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PNC Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PNC Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3,638 and 3,642, respectively. We have considered PNC Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3,915
3,640
Expected Value
3,642
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PNC Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PNC Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.6359
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 38.9693
MADMean absolute deviation98.0921
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0238
SAESum of the absolute errors5591.25
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of PNC Technologies. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for PNC Technologies co and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for PNC Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PNC Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,6433,6453,647
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,9872,9894,010
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
3,4733,9244,375
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PNC Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PNC Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PNC Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PNC Technologies.

Other Forecasting Options for PNC Technologies

For every potential investor in PNC, whether a beginner or expert, PNC Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PNC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PNC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PNC Technologies' price trends.

PNC Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PNC Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PNC Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PNC Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PNC Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PNC Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PNC Technologies' current price.

PNC Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PNC Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PNC Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PNC Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PNC Technologies co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PNC Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of PNC Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PNC Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pnc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with PNC Technologies

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if PNC Technologies position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PNC Technologies will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with PNC Stock

  0.82078600 Daejoo ElectronicPairCorr
  0.65090460 BH CoPairCorr

Moving against PNC Stock

  0.58045390 DAEA TIPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to PNC Technologies could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace PNC Technologies when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back PNC Technologies - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling PNC Technologies co to buy it.
The correlation of PNC Technologies is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as PNC Technologies moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if PNC Technologies moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for PNC Technologies can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in PNC Stock

PNC Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether PNC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PNC with respect to the benefits of owning PNC Technologies security.