Wan Hai Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

2615 Stock  TWD 83.00  0.80  0.95%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Wan Hai Lines on the next trading day is expected to be 89.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 280.62. Wan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Wan Hai is based on an artificially constructed time series of Wan Hai daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Wan Hai 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Wan Hai Lines on the next trading day is expected to be 89.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.29, mean absolute percentage error of 49.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 280.62.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wan Hai's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Wan Hai Stock Forecast Pattern

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Wan Hai Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Wan Hai's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wan Hai's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 85.92 and 93.06, respectively. We have considered Wan Hai's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
83.00
89.49
Expected Value
93.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wan Hai stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wan Hai stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.317
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.8387
MADMean absolute deviation5.2948
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0585
SAESum of the absolute errors280.625
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Wan Hai Lines 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Wan Hai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wan Hai Lines. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.2383.8087.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.7673.3392.18
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Wan Hai

For every potential investor in Wan, whether a beginner or expert, Wan Hai's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wan Hai's price trends.

Wan Hai Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wan Hai stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wan Hai could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wan Hai by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Wan Hai Lines Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wan Hai's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wan Hai's current price.

Wan Hai Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wan Hai stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wan Hai shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wan Hai stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wan Hai Lines entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Wan Hai Risk Indicators

The analysis of Wan Hai's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wan Hai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Wan Stock Analysis

When running Wan Hai's price analysis, check to measure Wan Hai's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wan Hai is operating at the current time. Most of Wan Hai's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wan Hai's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wan Hai's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wan Hai to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.