Yoantion Industrial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

301053 Stock   20.27  1.39  6.42%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Yoantion Industrial IncLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 19.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.80. Yoantion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Yoantion Industrial stock prices and determine the direction of Yoantion Industrial IncLtd's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Yoantion Industrial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Yoantion Industrial's Cash is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 8.3 M, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 875.8 M.
A naive forecasting model for Yoantion Industrial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Yoantion Industrial IncLtd value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Yoantion Industrial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Yoantion Industrial IncLtd on the next trading day is expected to be 19.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.80.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Yoantion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Yoantion Industrial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Yoantion Industrial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Yoantion IndustrialYoantion Industrial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Yoantion Industrial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Yoantion Industrial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Yoantion Industrial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.11 and 23.84, respectively. We have considered Yoantion Industrial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.27
19.98
Expected Value
23.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Yoantion Industrial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Yoantion Industrial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.5213
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5213
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0236
SAESum of the absolute errors31.8009
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Yoantion Industrial IncLtd. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Yoantion Industrial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Yoantion Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yoantion Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.8621.6625.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5221.3225.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yoantion Industrial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yoantion Industrial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yoantion Industrial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yoantion Industrial.

Other Forecasting Options for Yoantion Industrial

For every potential investor in Yoantion, whether a beginner or expert, Yoantion Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Yoantion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Yoantion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Yoantion Industrial's price trends.

Yoantion Industrial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Yoantion Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Yoantion Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Yoantion Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Yoantion Industrial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Yoantion Industrial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Yoantion Industrial's current price.

Yoantion Industrial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Yoantion Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Yoantion Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Yoantion Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Yoantion Industrial IncLtd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Yoantion Industrial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Yoantion Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yoantion Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yoantion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Yoantion Stock

Yoantion Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yoantion Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yoantion with respect to the benefits of owning Yoantion Industrial security.