Fujian Nanwang Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

301355 Stock   12.66  0.09  0.71%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fujian Nanwang Environment on the next trading day is expected to be 12.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.25. Fujian Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fujian Nanwang stock prices and determine the direction of Fujian Nanwang Environment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fujian Nanwang's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Fujian Nanwang Environment is based on a synthetically constructed Fujian Nanwangdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Fujian Nanwang 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Fujian Nanwang Environment on the next trading day is expected to be 12.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fujian Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fujian Nanwang's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fujian Nanwang Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fujian NanwangFujian Nanwang Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Fujian Nanwang Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fujian Nanwang's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fujian Nanwang's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.00 and 15.46, respectively. We have considered Fujian Nanwang's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.66
12.73
Expected Value
15.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fujian Nanwang stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fujian Nanwang stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.0125
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4183
MADMean absolute deviation0.4822
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0391
SAESum of the absolute errors20.2525
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Fujian Nanwang Envir 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Fujian Nanwang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fujian Nanwang Envir. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0312.8115.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6613.4416.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.4412.7114.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fujian Nanwang. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fujian Nanwang's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fujian Nanwang's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fujian Nanwang Envir.

Other Forecasting Options for Fujian Nanwang

For every potential investor in Fujian, whether a beginner or expert, Fujian Nanwang's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fujian Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fujian. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fujian Nanwang's price trends.

Fujian Nanwang Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fujian Nanwang stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fujian Nanwang could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fujian Nanwang by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fujian Nanwang Envir Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fujian Nanwang's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fujian Nanwang's current price.

Fujian Nanwang Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fujian Nanwang stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fujian Nanwang shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fujian Nanwang stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fujian Nanwang Environment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fujian Nanwang Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fujian Nanwang's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fujian Nanwang's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fujian stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Fujian Stock

Fujian Nanwang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fujian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fujian with respect to the benefits of owning Fujian Nanwang security.